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The 2020 US Presidential Election and Trump's Trade War

Lake, James; Nie, Jun - 2022

The trade war initiated by the Trump administration is the largest since the US imposed the Smoot-Hawley tariffs in the …. Our results highlight the political salience of the trade war: US trade war tariffs boosted Trump’s support but foreign … retaliation hurt Trump. In particular, the pro-Trump effects of US trade war tariffs were crucial for Trump crossing the recount …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013266634

Dragnet-Controls and Government Ideology

Potrafke, Niklas - 2019

initiatives to introduce/extend dragnet-controls to also deal with the upcoming threat of rightwing populism. Future research …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012018143

Collective Emotions and Protest Vote

Altomonte, Carlo; Gennaro, Gloria; Passarelli, Francesco - 2019

We leverage on important findings in social psychology to build a behavioral theory of protest vote. An individual develops a feeling of resentment if she loses income over time while richer people do not, or if she does not gain as others do, i.e. when her relative deprivation increases. In...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012018154

Tariffs and politics: evidence from Trump's trade wars

Fetzer, Thiemo René; Schwarz, Carlo - 2019

these questions. We find substantial evidence that retaliation was directly targeted to areas that swung to Donald Trump in …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012018244

Who Voted for Brexit? Individual and Regional Data Combined

Alabrese, Eleonora; Becker, Sascha; Fetzer, Thiemo; … - 2018

Previous analyses of the 2016 Brexit referendum used region-level data or small samples based on polling data. The former might be subject to ecological fallacy and the latter might suffer from small-sample bias. We use individual-level data on thousands of respondents in Understanding Society,...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011931943

Market Democracy, Rising Populism, and Contemporary Ordoliberalism

Dold, Malte; Krieger, Tim - 2024

Populist movements increasingly challenge liberal Western market democracies. Populism can be explained only in part by … populism as well. In this chapter, we ask whether elements of public deliberation may be a means to reasonably responding to …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014534292

Does the Winner Take It All? Redistributive Policies and Political Extremism

Daniele, Gianmarco; Piolatto, Amedeo; Sas, Willem - 2020

We show that regional heterogeneity of underlying fundamentals (e.g. economic history, geography, social capital) can lead to extreme voting in federations. When the outcome of federal policies – such as transfer schemes, market regulation or migration laws – depends on these fundamentals,...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012207979

Politics in the Facebook Era - Evidence from the 2016 US Presidential Elections

Liberini, Federica; Redoano, Michela; Russo, Antonio; … - 2020

, particularly among those who had expressed an intention to vote for Donald Trump. We also find that micro-targeted ads reduced … turnout among targeted liberals, whereas they increased turnout and support for Trump among targeted moderates. …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012208000

Populism and Social Polarization in European Democracies

Ginsburgh, Victor; Perelman, Sergio; Pestieau, Pierre - 2020

The objective of this paper is to explain populist attitudes that are prevailing in a number of European democracies. Populist attitudes expectedly lead to social protests and populist votes. We capture the populist wave by relying not on voting behavior but rather on values that are...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012269528

Globalization, Time-Preferences, and Populist Voting

Aronsson, Thomas; Hetschko, Clemens; Schöb, Ronnie - 2020

Societies see growing support for populist politicians who advocate an end to globalization. Our behavioral economics model links impatience to voters’ appraisals of an income shock due to globalization that is associated with short-run costs and delayed gains. The model shows that impatient...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012269536