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The Euro Area Periphery Sovereigns' Fiscal Positions and Unconventional Monetary Policy
Hülsewig, Oliver - 2020
We explore the reaction of the euro area periphery sovereigns' fiscal positions to an unconventional monetary policy shock. We estimate panel vector autoregressive (VAR) models over the period 2010-2018, and identify the shock by imposing sign restrictions. Our results suggest that the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012843420
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Public Finances Solvency in the Euro Area : True or False?
Afonso, António; Coelho, Jose Carlos - 2022
We assess public finances solvency for Euro Area countries using quarterly data between 1999Q1 and 2020Q4. Through a country-by-country analysis, the answer to the title question is true. For most countries, (i) the primary budget balance reacts positively to the lagged public debt ratio and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014076999
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Twin Deficits Through the Looking Glass : Time-Varying Analysis in the Euro Area
Afonso, António; Coelho, José Carlos - 2022
Using two measures of the fiscal position, the cyclically adjusted primary budget balance (CAPB) and the total budget balance, we assess the Twin Deficit Hypothesis for the Euro Area in the period 1995-2020. Furthermore, we estimate time-varying coefficients of the current account balance...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013306033
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The Euro Crisis and Economic Growth : A Novel Counterfactual Approach
Terzi, Alessio - 2019
warranted. To make this claim, this paper uses a Propensity Score Matching Model to produce counterfactuals for the Eurozone … more in the Eurozone periphery than in the standard counterfactual scenario. These results are not dictated by any specific … Eurozone's specificity, which is instead to be traced back to a sharper-than-expected contraction in investment and fiscal …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012866042
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Collective Memories on the 2010 European Debt Crisis
Arnemann, Laura; Konrad, Kai A.; Potrafke, Niklas - 2021
We examine whether collective memories on the aid&reform programs chosen to handle the 2010 European debt crisis differ … and lender countries. Nation-serving biases may well explain if the European debt crisis has reduced the sense of … belonging rather than bringing European citizens closer together …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013250727
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Sovereign Default and Imperfect Tax Enforcement
Pappadà, Francesco - 2019
We show that, in many countries, tax compliance is volatile and markedly responds to fiscal policy. To explore the consequence of this novel stylized fact, we build a model of sovereign debt with limited commitment and imperfect tax enforcement. Fiscal policy persistently affects the size of the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012867017
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Sovereign Defaults and Debt Sustainability : The Debt Recovery Channel
Diarra, Ibrahima; Guillard, Michel; Kempf, Hubert - 2022
This paper focuses on the debt recovery channel linking the dynamics of public debt to partial sovereign defaults. We build a simple model which incorporates sovereign default and a debt recovery rule. It depends on a parameter that allows for partial debt recovery. We show that the maximum...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013292498
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Financial contagion and the European debt crisis
Missio, Sebastian; Watzka, Sebastian - 2011
. While the Euro Crisis has its origin in Greece, problems have now spread to several other European countries as well …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010277409
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Fiscal spillovers in the Euro area
Caporale, Guglielmo Maria; Girardi, Alessandro - 2011
imbalances in Italy and in other peripheral countries should be closely monitored by their EMU partners and the European …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010280818
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An Unemployment Re-Insurance Scheme for the Eurozone? Stabilizing and Redistributive Effects
Dolls, Mathias - 2020
This paper develops a decomposition framework to study the importance of different stabilization channels of an unemployment re-insurance scheme for the euro area. Running counterfactual simulations based on household micro data for the period 2000–16, the paper finds that the re-insurance...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012836930