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The Frequency of One-Day Abnormal Returns and Price Fluctuations in the Forex
Caporale, Guglielmo Maria - 2020
This paper analyses the explanatory power of the frequency of abnormal returns in the FOREX for the EURUSD, GBRUSD, USDJPY, EURJPY, GBPCHF, AUDUSD and USDCAD exchange rates over the period 1994-2019. Abnormal returns are detected using a dynamic trigger approach; then the following hypotheses...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012837673
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Intraday Effect of News on Emerging European Forex Markets : An Event Study Analysis
Kočenda, Evžen - 2018
We analyze the impact of Eurozone/Germany and U.S. macroeconomic news announcements and the communication of the monetary policy settings of the ECB and the Fed on the forex markets of new EU members. We employ an event study methodology to analyze intra-day data from 2011–2015. Our...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012908658
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Exchange Rates and Consumer Prices : Evidence from Brexit
Breinlich, Holger - 2020
This paper studies how the depreciation of sterling following the Brexit referendum affected consumer prices in the United Kingdom. Our identification strategy uses input-output linkages to account for heterogeneity in exposure to import costs across product groups. We show that, after the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012844422
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A Jackknife Model Averaging Analysis of RMB Misalignment Estimates
Cheung, Yin-Wong - 2019
We adopt the Jackknife Model Averaging (JMA) technique to conduct a meta-regression analysis of 925 renminbi (RMB) misalignment estimates generated by 69 studies. The JMA method accounts for model selection and sampling uncertainties, and allows for non-nested model specifications and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012861432
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Exchange Rate Parities and Taylor Rule Deviations
Anderl, Christina; Caporale, Guglielmo Maria - 2021
This paper investigates the PPP and UIP conditions by taking into account possible nonlinearities as well as the role … follows. First, the nonlinear specification provides much stronger evidence for the PPP and UIP conditions, the estimated … exchange rate from the PPP- and UIP-implied equilibrium …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013236279
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The Impacts of the Dollar-Renminbi Exchange Rate Misalignment on the China-United States Commodity Trade : An Asymmetric Analysis
Ferjani, Sabrine; Saafi, Sami; Nouira, Ridha; Rault, … - 2022
Contrary to most existing studies of the literature that assumed that the effects of real exchange rate (RE) misalignment on trade flows are symmetric, this paper considers a more general and realistic framework allowing for possible asymmetric effects. We use monthly time-series data over the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013291707
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An Equilibrium Theory of Nominal Exchange Rates
Hagedorn, Marcus - 2021
This paper proposes an equilibrium theory of nominal exchange rates, which offers a new perspective on various issues in open economy macroeconomics. The nominal exchange rate and portfolio choices are jointly determined in equilibrium, thus providing a new approach to overcoming the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013212261
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Nonlinearities and Asymmetric Adjustment to PPP in an Exchange Rate Model with Inflation Expectations
Anderl, Christina; Caporale, Guglielmo Maria - 2021
the presence of asymmetries both in the long- and short-run. In particular, the speed of adjustment towards the PPP … PPP. Moreover, inflation expectations play an important role, with survey-based ones having a more sizable effect than …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013243236
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Lending Cycles and Real Outcomes : Costs of Political Misalignment
Bircan, Cagatay; Saka, Orkun - 2021
We document a strong political cycle in bank credit and industry outcomes in Turkey. In line with theories of tactical redistribution, state-owned banks systematically adjust their lending around local elections compared with private banks in the same province based on electoral competition and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013246909
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Bank of England interest rate announcements and the foreign exchange market
Melvin, Michael; Saborowski, Christian; Sager, Michael; … - 2009
Since 1997, the Bank of England Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) has met monthly to set the UK policy interest rate. We examine evidence of systematic patterns in exchange rate movements on MPC days over the first decade of operation of the MPC. Daily data reveal significant differences in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010264608