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Gold and Oil Prices : Abnormal Returns, Momentum and Contrarian Effects
Caporale, Guglielmo Maria - 2020
This paper explores price (momentum and contrarian) effects on the days characterised by abnormal returns and the following ones in two commodity markets. Specifically, using daily Gold and Oil price data over the period 01.01.2009-31.03.2020 the following hypotheses are tested: H1) there are...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012827113
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Momentum Effects in the Cryptocurrency Market after One-Day Abnormal Returns
Caporale, Guglielmo Maria - 2019
This paper examines whether there exists a momentum effect after one-day abnormal returns in the cryptocurrency market. For this purpose a number of hypotheses of interest are tested for the BitCoin, Ethereum and LiteCoin exchange rates vis-à-vis the US dollar over the period...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012859990
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Stock Market Linkages between the ASEAN Countries, China and the Us : A Fractional Cointegration Approach
Caporale, Guglielmo Maria - 2019
This paper examines stock market integration between the ASEAN five and the US and China, respectively, over the period … analysis is carried out for the weekly series to study the impact of the 2007-8 global financial crisis and the 2015 China … exhibit long memory. There is cointegration between the ASEAN five and the US but almost none between the former and China …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012891049
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The Frequency of One-Day Abnormal Returns and Price Fluctuations in the Forex
Caporale, Guglielmo Maria - 2020
This paper analyses the explanatory power of the frequency of abnormal returns in the FOREX for the EURUSD, GBRUSD, USDJPY, EURJPY, GBPCHF, AUDUSD and USDCAD exchange rates over the period 1994-2019. Abnormal returns are detected using a dynamic trigger approach; then the following hypotheses...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012837673
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The COVID-19 Pandemic and the Degree of Persistence of US Stock Prices and Bond Yields
Caporale, Guglielmo Maria; Gil-Alana, Luis A.; Poza, Carlos - 2021
This paper analyses the possible effects of the Covid-19 pandemic on the degree of persistence of US monthly stock prices and bond yields using fractional integration techniques. The model is estimated first over the period January 1966-December 2020 and then a recursive approach is taken to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013235116
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Predictability of Bull and Bear Markets : A New Look at Forecasting Stock Market Regimes (and Returns) in the Us
Haase, Felix; Neuenkirch, Matthias - 2021
The empirical literature of stock market predictability mainly suffers from model uncertainty and parameter instability. To meet this challenge, we propose a novel approach that combines the documented merits of diffusion indices, regime-switching models, and forecast combination to predict the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013250734
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Oil Prices, Exchange Rates and Sectoral Stock Returns in the BRICS-T Countries : A Time-Varying Approach
Caporale, Guglielmo Maria; Catik, Abdurrahman Nazif; … - 2021
Africa; no effect on the transportation sector of Brazil, China, and South Africa, a negative one on those of India and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013211113
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Abnormal Returns and Stock Price Movements : Some Evidence from Developed and Emerging Markets
Caporale, Guglielmo Maria; Plastun, Alex - 2021
developed (US, UK, Japan) and emerging (China, India) markets over the period 01.01.2010-01.01.2020. Average analysis, t …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013314758
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Witching Days and Abnormal Profits in the US Stock Market
Caporale, Guglielmo Maria; Plastun, Alex - 2021
This paper examines price effects related to witching days in the US stock market using both weekly and daily data for three major indices, namely the Dow Jones, SP500 and Nasdaq, over the period 2000-2021. First it analyses whether or not anomalies in price behaviour arise from witching by...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013323081
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Corporate Debt and Stock Returns : Evidence from U.S. Firms During the 2020 Oil Crash
Arezki, Rabah; Cho, Caleb; Nguyen, Ha; Nguyen, Kate; … - 2022
This paper explores the effect of oil price fluctuations on the stock returns of U.S. oil firms using a strategy of identification through heteroskedasticity exploiting the 2020 oil crash. Results are twofold. First, we find that a decline in oil prices statistically significantly reduces stock...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014083040