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We postulate a nonlinear DSGE model with a financial sector and heterogeneous households. In our model, the interaction between the supply of bonds by the financial sector and the precautionary demand for bonds by households produces significant endogenous aggregate risk. This risk induces an...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012825400
networks. In this paper we incorporate production barriers induced by COVID-19 shock into a Ricardian model with sectoral … shock has a considerable impact on most economies in the world, especially when a share of the labor force is quarantined …. Moreover, we show that global production linkages have a clear role in magnifying the effect of the production shock. Finally …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012837986
We develop a network trade model with country-sector level input-output linkages. It includes (1) domestic and global value chain linkages between all country-sectors, (2) direct as well as indirect shipments (via other sectors and countries) to a final destination, (3) value added rather than...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012892112
with input-output linkages to gauge the effects of this adverse supply shock in China on the global economy through … countries even gain from the shock due to trade diversion. As a key methodological contribution, we quantify the role of GVCs … (in contrast to final goods trade) in transmitting the shock. In a hypothetical world without GVCs, the welfare loss due …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013315297
). Training does not increase. The evidence shows that a temporary shock induces persistent effects: firm restructuring scars …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014347983
This paper shows that monetary policy and prudential policies interact. U.S. banks issue more commercial and industrial loans to emerging market borrowers when U.S. monetary policy eases. The effect is less pronounced for banks that are more constrained through the U.S. bank stress tests,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012858696
We use an empirical gravity equation approach to study how nonreciprocal trade preferences (NRTPs), enacted mainly through the Generalized System of Preferences, affect the exports of the beneficiary nations. In line with existing studies, the average trade effect stemming from nonreciprocal...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012892267
Using a new, global data base covering the years 1950 to 2015, we study the impact of sanctions on international trade and welfare. We make use of the rich dimensionality of our data and of the latest developments in the structural gravity literature. Starting with a broad evaluation by sanction...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012866418
We find that Republican candidates lost support in the 2018 congressional election in counties more exposed to trade retaliation, but saw no commensurate electoral gains from US tariff protection. The electoral losses were driven by retaliatory tariffs on agricultural products, and were only...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013315251
We propose a simple and flexible econometric approach to quantify ex-ante the “deep” impact of trade liberalization and the “hard” effects of protection with the empirical structural gravity model. Specifically, we argue that the difference between the estimates of border indicator...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013216771