Showing 1 - 10 of 485
We derive closed-form solutions and sufficient statistics for inflation and GDP dynamics in multi-sector New Keynesian … of inflation and GDP responses to monetary and sectoral shocks and (2) increase the pass-through of sectoral shocks to … aggregate inflation. Quantitatively, we confirm the significant role of production networks in shock propagation, emphasizing …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014356604
The resurgence of inflation since the late 2021 is now accompanied by a reversal of prospects of growth, reviving fears … prominent role is played by the fall of households' purchasing power, and hence consumption, owing to the inflation shock visà … inflation surprises, independent of restrictive monetary policy, is not present in the standard New Keynesian models for …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014262559
experiment of the past decade, stemming from a belief of the government that higher interest rates cause higher inflation … eventually a negative coefficient on inflation in the policy rule. In such an environment, was the exchange rate still a random … walk? Was inflation anchored? Does the “standard model” suffice to explain the broad contours of macroeconomic outcomes in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014083478
This paper estimates forward-looking Taylor rules for the euro area. Using the asymmetries in inflation and cyclical … not there has been a synchronisation of business and inflation cycles among the EMU member countries over the years …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010264325
This paper explores the role that the imperfect knowledge of the structure of the economy plays in the uncertainty surrounding the effects of rule-based monetary policy on unemployment dynamics in the euro area and the US. We employ a Bayesian model averaging procedure on a wide range of models...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010264579
This paper provides a general strategy for analyzing monetary policy in real time which accounts for data uncertainty without explicitly modelling the revision process. The strategy makes use of all the data available from a real-time data matrix and averages model estimates across all data...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010274753
January 1993 to December 2020 for five inflation-targeting countries (the UK, Canada, Australia, New Zealand and Sweden) and … speed is twice as fast when deviations are small and the credibility of the central bank is higher. Third, inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013236279
rational private sector expectations about housing prices and inflation, optimal monetary policy can be characterized by a … standard 'target criterion' that refers to inflation and the output gap, without making reference to housing prices. When the … increases (decreases), policy should adopt a stance that is projected to undershoot (overshoot) its normal targets for inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012840227
We estimate a Heterogeneous-Agent New Keynesian model with sticky household expectations that matches existing microeconomic evidence on marginal propensities to consume and macroeconomic evidence on the impulse response to a monetary policy shock. Our estimated model uncovers a central role for...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012842965
Central banks unexpectedly tightening policy rates often observe the exchange value of their currency depreciate, rather than appreciate as predicted by standard models. We document this for Fed and ECB policy days using eventstudies and ask whether an information effect, where the public...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012822502