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financial crisis of the 20th century – the Great Depression. Using balance-sheet and systemic risk measures at the bank level …, we build an econometric model with incidental truncation that jointly considers bank survival, the type of bank closure … (consolidations, absorption, and failures), and changes to bank risk. Despite roughly 9,000 bank closures, risk did not leave the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014345560
This paper studies the secular increase in U.S. household debt and its relation to growing income inequality and financial fragility. We exploit a new household-level dataset that covers the joint distributions of debt, income, and wealth in the United States over the past seven decades. The...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012834359
This paper studies the role of a lender of last resort (LLR) in a monetary model where a shortage of bank’s monetary …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012892137
U.S. banking crisis of the 20th century. Our systemic risk measure captures both the credit risk of an individual bank … as well as a bank’s position in the network. We construct linkages between all U.S. commercial banks in 1929 and 1934 so … banking crisis that occurred between 1930{33 raised systemic risk per bank by 33% and increased the riskiness of the very …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012892160
Can central banks defuse rising stability risks in financial booms by leaning against the wind with higher interest rates? This paper studies the state-dependent effects of monetary policy on financial stability. Based on the near-universe of advanced economy financial cycles since the 19th...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012825398
This paper explores price (momentum and contrarian) effects on the days characterised by abnormal returns and the following ones in two commodity markets. Specifically, using daily Gold and Oil price data over the period 01.01.2009-31.03.2020 the following hypotheses are tested: H1) there are...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012827113
This paper examines whether there exists a momentum effect after one-day abnormal returns in the cryptocurrency market. For this purpose a number of hypotheses of interest are tested for the BitCoin, Ethereum and LiteCoin exchange rates vis-à-vis the US dollar over the period...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012859990
Climate policies to keep global warming below 2℃ might render some of the world's fossil fuels and related …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012859044
We analyze how investor expectations about economic growth and stock returns changed during the February-March 2020 stock market crash induced by the COVID-19 pandemic, as well as during the subsequent partial stock market recovery. We surveyed retail investors who are clients of Vanguard at...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012832080
This paper explores the effect of oil price fluctuations on the stock returns of U.S. oil firms using a strategy of identification through heteroskedasticity exploiting the 2020 oil crash. Results are twofold. First, we find that a decline in oil prices statistically significantly reduces stock...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014083040