This paper estimates a time-varying AR-GARCH model of inflation producing measures of inflation uncertainty for the … policy regime change associated with the start of EMU in 1999. The main findings are as follows. Steady-state inflation and … inflation uncertainty have declined steadily since the inception of EMU, whilst short-run uncertainty has increased, mainly …

ahead forecasts of real output, inflation, real equity prices, exchange rates and interest rates over the period 2004Q1 … output, inflation and real equity prices. …

expert forecasts and show that the MF-TVP-SV-VAR delivers better inflation nowcasts in this regard. Using an optimal …

with simulations. Two examples based on European unemployment and inflation series are used to illustrate the virtue of the …

root of different inflation rates in Europe including the EU-27. Among others, we study the structural and cyclical factors … descriptive statistics. Subsequently, we set out the possible mismatches between price level convergence and inflation rates … factors on observed inflation rates first in an accounting framework and then by relying on panel estimations. Our estimation …

is shown that the firm's optimal adjustment strategy may involve stockouts. At low inflation rates, output is inversely … related to the inflation rate, and the length of time demand is satisfied increases with the demand elasticity but decreases …

seigniorage finance. This leads to an increase in inflation which, in turn, reduces capital accumulation and growth. At the …

This paper reviews the literature on the effects of low steady-state inflation on wage formation, focusing on four … different effects. First, under low inflation, downward nominal wage rigidity (DNWR) may prevent real wage cuts that would have … happened had inflation been higher. Second, wages (and prices) are given in nominal contracts, and inflation affects both how …

independence and inflation. Making use of data on the evolution of central bank independence over time and controlling for possible … country's inflation performance. Examining a cross-section of up to 69 countries, we are able to show that granting a central … bank more autonomy does not necessarily lead to better inflation performance. To lower inflation by increasing independence …

This paper employs a stylized New Keynesian DSGE model for a monetary union to analyze whether cyclical inflation … the fraction of borrowers and to a lesser extent the loan-to-value ratio - generate inflation differentials that are … characteristics of financial markets should be seen as a possible alternative explanation for the observable inflation dispersion in …