quantity of money and or excess money can be used to forecast inflation. After a preliminary data analysis, money demand …. Using recursive estimates, indicator properties of monetary aggregates for inflation are assessed for the period from 2000 … the one for M2 is strongly influenced by these three observations. While in both cases forecasts for 2010 show inflation …

find evidence of its linchpin prediction that is not limited to periods of high inflation. …

This paper examines the causal effects of shifts in international food commodity prices on euro area inflation dynamics …%- 30% of inflation volatility. In addition, large autonomous swings in international food prices contributed significantly … to the twin puzzle of missing disinflation and missing inflation in the era after the Great Recession. Specifically …

This paper shows that the eurozone payment system does not effectively protect member states from speculative attacks … distributive effects of an orderly eurozone dissolution …