Showing 1 - 10 of 441
This paper estimates a New Keynesian model extended to include heterogeneous expectations, to revisit the evidence that postwar US macroeconomic data can be explained as the outcome of passive monetary policy, indeterminacy, and sunspot-driven fluctuations in the pre-1979 sample, with a switch...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012836715
Research about narratives’ role in economics is scarce, while real word experience and research in other sciences suggest they matter a lot. This article proposes a view and methodology for quantifying the epidemiology of media narratives relevant to business cycles in the US, Japan, and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012892114
We argue that social and political risk causes significant aggregate fluctuations by changing workers’ bargaining power. Using a Bayesian proxy-VAR estimated with U.S. data, we show how distribution shocks trigger output and unemployment movements. To quantify the aggregate importance of these...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013235101
shock. Our estimated model uncovers a central role for investment in the transmission mechanism of monetary policy, as high … MPCs amplify the investment response in the data. This force also generates a procyclical response of consumption to … investment shocks, leading our model to infer a central role for these shocks as a source of business cycles …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012842965
Macroeconomic and sector-specific shocks exert differential effects on investment in disaggregate sectoral data. The … monotonically. A calibrated model of investment with convex capital adjustment costs and rational inattention explains these … features of the data. The model matches the empirical responses of sectoral investment because learning about shocks generates …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012827670
IT investment in any sectors, it does significantly improve labor productivity for firms in manufacturing and in …, cloud usage is expected to increase the productivity of firms, as it allows them to quickly customize the IT they require to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014076705
equilibrium, general-equilibrium effects overturn this result: a monetary expansion increases the investment of high-productivity … their productivity and net worth and face collateral constraints that cause capital misallocation. TFP endogenously depends … firms relatively more than that of low-productivity ones, crowding out the latter and increasing TFP. We provide empirical …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013311708
interactions between MP and trade. According to the model with MP, supply-side productivity shocks contributed to the collapse of … to shocks that affected aggregate productivity and were specific to multinationals in a few key headquarters countries …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014358332
Discounting future costs and benefits is a crucial yet contentious practice in the appraisal of long-term public projects with environmental consequences. The standard approach typically neglects that ecosystem services are not easily substitutable with manufactured goods and often exhibit...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013293280
The paper studies the interaction between cyclical uncertainty and investment in a stochastic real option framework … of the link between cyclical uncertainty and investment is quantified using simulations of the model. The chief …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010271966