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On Optimal Currency Areas and Common Cycles : Are the Acceding Countries Ready to Join the Euro?
Grimm, Louisa; Steinkamp, Sven; Westermann, Frank - 2021
The former EU president Jean-Claude Junker has proposed that all countries of the European Union should also adopt the euro as their currency and recent research has shown that countries currently pursuing this goal indeed fulfill the classical Optimal Currency Area (OCA) criterion of positively...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013232406
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The Euro Area Government Spending Multiplier in Demand- and Supply-Driven Recessions
di Serio, Mario; Fragetta, Matteo; Gasteiger, Emanuel; … - 2022
We estimate government spending multipliers in demand- and supply-driven recessions for the Euro Area. Multipliers in a moderately demand-driven recession are 2-3 times larger than in a moderately supply-driven recession, with the difference between multipliers being non-zero with very high...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013292507
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The Euro Crisis and Economic Growth : A Novel Counterfactual Approach
Terzi, Alessio - 2019
warranted. To make this claim, this paper uses a Propensity Score Matching Model to produce counterfactuals for the Eurozone … more in the Eurozone periphery than in the standard counterfactual scenario. These results are not dictated by any specific … Eurozone's specificity, which is instead to be traced back to a sharper-than-expected contraction in investment and fiscal …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012866042
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Business Cycle Narratives
Larsen, Vegard - 2019
Research about narratives’ role in economics is scarce, while real word experience and research in other sciences suggest they matter a lot. This article proposes a view and methodology for quantifying the epidemiology of media narratives relevant to business cycles in the US, Japan, and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012892114
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Sectoral Okun's Law and Cross-Country Cyclical Differences
Goto, Eiji - 2020
We estimate Okun's law, the negative relationship between output and the unemployment rate, at the sector level for the US, the UK, Japan, and Switzerland to test several hypotheses that may explain why the aggregate Okun's coeffcients are different across countries. Specifically, we show that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012841145
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Great Volatility and Great Moderation
Grazzini, Jakob - 2019
We investigate the sources of the great changes in GDP volatility observed from 1966 to 2000. We develop a general equilibrium model and calibrate it to US data in order to characterize the contribution of micro level productivity shocks, inter-sectoral linkages and households' behavior to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012892302
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The Supply of Hours Worked and Fluctuations Between Growth Regimes
Iong, Ka-Kit; Irmen, Andreas - 2021
Declining hours of work per worker in conjunction with a growing work force may give rise to fluctuations between growth regimes. This is shown in an overlapping generations model with two-period lived individuals endowed with Boppart-Krusell preferences (Boppart and Krusell (2020)). On the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013233150
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Health and Economic Growth : Reconciling the Micro and Macro Evidence
Bloom, David E.; Kotschy, Rainer; Prettner, Klaus; … - 2022
Economists use micro-based and macro-based approaches to assess the macroeconomic return to population health. The macro-based approach tends to yield estimates that are either negative and close to zero or positive and an order of magnitude larger than the range of estimates derived from the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014081589
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An Unemployment Re-Insurance Scheme for the Eurozone? Stabilizing and Redistributive Effects
Dolls, Mathias - 2020
This paper develops a decomposition framework to study the importance of different stabilization channels of an unemployment re-insurance scheme for the euro area. Running counterfactual simulations based on household micro data for the period 2000–16, the paper finds that the re-insurance...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012836930
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Unconventional Monetary Policy Shocks in the Euro Area and the Sovereign-Bank Nexus
Hristov, Nikolay - 2020
We explore the effects of the ECB's unconventional monetary policy on the banks' sovereign debt portfolios. In particular, using panel vector autoregressive (VAR) models we analyze whether banks increased their domestic government bond holdings in response to non-standard monetary policy shocks,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012838235