Showing 1 - 10 of 407
due to a fiscal policy shock, as compared to when the rise in output is due to a positive technology shock. The cross ….75 when the rise in output follows from a favorable output shock …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012892134
with input-output linkages to gauge the effects of this adverse supply shock in China on the global economy through … countries even gain from the shock due to trade diversion. As a key methodological contribution, we quantify the role of GVCs … (in contrast to final goods trade) in transmitting the shock. In a hypothetical world without GVCs, the welfare loss due …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013315297
Did multinational production (MP) exacerbate or mitigate the collapse of international trade during the Great Recession? What role did MP and trade links play in propagating economic shocks across countries? I resolve the “Multinationals’ Resilience Puzzle” during the Great Recession by...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014358332
We examine the Exchange Rate Volatility (ERV) response to the Economic Policy Uncertainty (EPU) shocks from a panel VAR perspective used for the first time in this context. Focusing on Emerging Market Economies (EME), our noteworthy findings postulate that (a) both home and foreign EPU shocks...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012837681
Using European Commission real-time data, we show that potential output (PO) estimates were substantially and persistently revised downwards after the Great Recession. We decompose PO revisions into revisions of the capital stock, trend labor, and trend total-factor productivity (TFP)....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012866365
Using the measures proposed by Mink et al. (2012), we reexamine the coherence of business cycles in the euro area using a long sample period. We also analyze the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on business cycle coherence and examine whether our measures for business cycle coherence indicate a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013293282
This paper shows that monetary policy and prudential policies interact. U.S. banks issue more commercial and industrial loans to emerging market borrowers when U.S. monetary policy eases. The effect is less pronounced for banks that are more constrained through the U.S. bank stress tests,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012858696
We study how domestic and global output gaps affect CPI inflation. We use a New-Keynesian Phillips curve framework which controls for nonlinear exchange rate movements for a panel of 26 advanced and 22 emerging economies covering the 1994Q1-2017Q4 period. We find broadly that both global and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012892246
decades can explain increasing resistance to globalization in industrialized countries. In a traditional trade model of a … analysis indicates that, in contrast to past episodes of globalization, public education does not shield workers from losses …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012865702
This paper develops a model that incorporates workers' fair wage preferences into a general equilibrium framework with monopolistic competition between heterogeneous firms à la Melitz (2003). By assuming that the wage considered to be fair by workers depends on the productivity and thus the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013317452