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Non-Linearities and Persistence in US Long-Run Interest Rates
Caporale, Guglielmo Maria; Gil-Alana, Luis A.; … - 2021
-August 2020, the other from the ECB reporting average monthly values over the period January 1900-August 2020. The estimation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013314848
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Persistence, Non-Linearities and Structural Breaks in European Stock Market Indices
Caporale, Guglielmo Maria - 2019
This paper examines persistence, structural breaks and non-linearities in the case of five European stock market indices, namely the FTSE100 (UK), DAX30 (Germany), CAC40 (France), IBEX35 (Spain) and FTSE MIB40 (Italy), using fractional integration methods. The empirical results provide no...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012866377
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Forecasting with Panel Data : Estimation Uncertainty Versus Parameter Heterogeneity
Pesaran, M. Hashem; Pick, Andreas; Timmermann, Allan - 2022
We develop novel forecasting methods for panel data with heterogeneous parameters and examine them together with …-sectional (N) and time (T) dimensions and varying degrees of parameter heterogeneity. We investigate conditions under which panel …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013292495
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Heterogeneous Autoregressions in Short T Panel Data Models
Pesaran, M. Hashem; Yang, Liying - 2023
This paper considers a first-order autoregressive panel data model with individual-specific effects and a heterogeneous …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014347822
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Real-Time Forecasting Using Mixed-Frequency Vars with Time-Varying Parameters
Heinrich, Markus - 2020
This paper provides a detailed assessment of the real-time forecast accuracy of a wide range of vector autoregressive models (VAR) that allow for both structural change and indicators sampled at different frequencies. We extend the literature by evaluating a mixed-frequency time-varying...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012842676
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Imputing Monthly Values for Quarterly Time Series. An Application Performed with Swiss Business Cycle Data
Abberger, Klaus; Graff, Michael; Müller, Oliver; … - 2023
This paper documents a comparative application of algorithms to deal with the problem of missing values in higher frequency data sets. We refer to Swiss business tendency survey (BTS) data which are conducted in both monthly and quarterly frequency, where an information sub-set is collected at...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014262560
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Nonlinearities and Asymmetric Adjustment to PPP in an Exchange Rate Model with Inflation Expectations
Anderl, Christina; Caporale, Guglielmo Maria - 2021
This paper estimates a model of the real exchange rate including standard fundamentals as well as two alternative measures of inflation expectations for five inflation targeting countries (UK, Canada, Australia, New Zealand, Sweden) over the period January 1993-July 2019. Both a benchmark linear...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013243236
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A multivariate long-memory model with structural breaks
Caporale, Guglielmo Maria; Gil-Alana, Luis A. - 2007
This paper introduces a multivariate long-memory model with structural breaks. In the proposed framework, time series exhibit possibly fractional orders of integration which are allowed to be different in each subsample. The break date is endogenously determined using a procedure which minimises...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010264093
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Variable selection and inference for multi-period forecasting problems
Pesaran, Mohammad Hashem; Pick, Andreas; Timmermann, Allan - 2009
direct forecasts when estimation error is a first-order concern, i.e. in small samples and for long forecast horizons …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010276226
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Common Correlated Effects Estimation of Heterogeneous Dynamic Panel Quantile Regression Models
Harding, Matthew - 2018
This paper proposes a quantile regression estimator for a heterogeneous panel model with lagged dependent variables and … Pesaran (2015) and demonstrates that the extension to the estimation of dynamic quantile regression models is feasible under … the time series dimension of the panel is large. We present an application to the evaluation of Time-of-Use pricing using …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012908711