Showing 1 - 10 of 1,901
Using a unique dataset of 22.5 million news articles from the Dow Jones Newswires Archive, we perform an in depth real-time out-of-sample forecasting comparison study with one of the most widely used data sets in the newer forecasting literature, namely the FRED-MD dataset. Focusing on U.S. GDP,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013315147
This paper examines how skill-biased growth can generate economic fragmentation (income dis-parities) that give rise to social fragmentation (the adoption of increasingly incompatible social identities and values), which generate political fragmentation (the adoption of increasingly incompatible...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012859600
We examine partisan bias in inflation expectations. Our dataset includes inflation expectations of the New York Fed … based on how partisans respond to changes in the White House's occupant (partisan bias). The results also corroborate the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012860297
Conditional yield skewness is an important summary statistic of the state of the economy. It exhibits pronounced variation over the business cycle and with the stance of monetary policy, and a tight relationship with the slope of the yield curve. Most importantly, variation in yield skewness has...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013222193
Evidence from hypothetical scenarios strongly suggests the existence of a sunk cost bias, the tendency to ‘throw good … psychological channels underlying such a bias is scarce. We present a laboratory experiment designed to investigate the sunk cost … bias and to test some prominent psychological mechanisms. Inspired by the hypothetical scenarios, we use a two …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013315181
European countries for more than a decade, we estimate time-varying individual level bias in ‘survival expectations' (BSE) at …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013311581
position of the median voter does not change. We show that media bias provides a mechanism through which political polarization … suppression bias and update appropriately, important information is lost through bias, potentially resulting in inefficient …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010263978
Is the reputation of a firm tradeable when the previous owner has to retire even though ownership change is observable … good type. Hence reputation is tradeable, although ownership change is observable. In our model, reputation is an …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010261210
This paper investigates the dynamic linkages between portfolio flows and various news indices (based on both "positive" and "negative" news headlines collected from Bloomberg), whilst also controlling for a comprehensive set of push and pull factors. The monthly panel examined comprises 49...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012840701
Using the variation in national television news of four major member states in the Eurozone, we find causal effects of coverage of high-frequency identified monetary policy announcements on households’ inflation expectations in an event study and a generalized Difference-in-Differences...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014260707