Showing 1 - 10 of 32
We model the evolution of the number of individuals that are reported to be sick with COVID-19 in Germany. Our theoretical framework builds on a continuous time Markov chain with four states: healthy without infection, sick, healthy after recovery or after infection but without symptoms and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012207948
Many countries consider the lifting of restrictions of social contacts (RSC). We quantify the effects of RSC for Germany. We initially employ a purely statistical approach to predicting prevalence of COVID19 if RSC were upheld after April 20. We employ these findings and feed them into our...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012208007
This paper develops a revealed-preference approach that uses budget constrain discontinuities to price workplace safety. We track hourly workers who face the decision of how many hours to work at varying levels of Covid-19 risk and leverage state-specific discontinuities in unemployment...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012799769
We embed a lockdown choice in a simplified epidemiological model and derive formulas for the optimal lockdown intensity … discovery, learning effects in the health care sector, and the severity of output losses due to a lockdown. In our baseline …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012208005
We develop a multiple-events model and exploit within and between country variation in the timing, type and level of intensity of various non-pharmaceutical interventions to study their dynamic effects on the daily incidence of COVID-19 and on population mobility patterns across 135 countries....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012227678
This paper studies the labor market effects of non-pharmaceutical interventions (NPIs) to combat the Covid-19 pandemic. We focus on the Nordic countries which showed one of the highest variations in NPIs despite having similar community spread of Covid-19 at the onset of the pandemic: While...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012269543
alternative evolution of the pandemic, assuming that states extended the lockdown measures until daily new cases reach the levels … of European countries after their lockdown measures were relaxed. In the baseline simulation, we find that cases and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012314864
This paper reexamines the design of the optimal lockdown strategy by paying attention to its robustness to the … postulated social welfare criterion. We first characterize optimal lockdown under utilitarianism, and we show that this social …-maximal lockdown saving lives at the cost of reducing average utility at a given period, there exists always a stricter lockdown, which …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012425600
characterize equilibrium, optimal outcomes, static and dynamic externalities, and prove the following: (i) A lockdown generically … arrives deterministically, optimal policy is dis-continuous, featuring a light/strict lockdown when the arrival date exceeds … gains from optimal policy unless the government lacks instruments to stimulate activity after a lockdown. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012425676
lockdown while containing the spread of the virus. Such policies may, however, need to be complemented by selective containment …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012425703