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What are their words worth? : Political plans and economic pains of fiscal consolidations in new EU member States
Zapal, Jan; Schneider, Ondřej - 2006
In this paper, we track fiscal authority behaviour in the ten new EU member states (NSM) in the period which immediately preceded their EU accession. We first present basic stylized facts about public budgets of those countries. The paper then analyses reasons which led to periods of fiscal...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010276564
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The Euro Crisis and Economic Growth : A Novel Counterfactual Approach
Terzi, Alessio - 2019
warranted. To make this claim, this paper uses a Propensity Score Matching Model to produce counterfactuals for the Eurozone … more in the Eurozone periphery than in the standard counterfactual scenario. These results are not dictated by any specific … Eurozone's specificity, which is instead to be traced back to a sharper-than-expected contraction in investment and fiscal …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012866042
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Austerity and Distributional Policy
Alpino, Matteo; Asatryan, Zareh; Blesse, Sebastian; … - 2021
What are the effects of austerity on distributional policy? We exploit the autonomy of Italian municipalities in setting non-linear income taxes and the exogenous introduction of a fiscal rule to show that austerity increases tax progressivity. Consistent with this evidence, we find that in a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013315143
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The Euro Area Periphery Sovereigns' Fiscal Positions and Unconventional Monetary Policy
Hülsewig, Oliver - 2020
We explore the reaction of the euro area periphery sovereigns' fiscal positions to an unconventional monetary policy shock. We estimate panel vector autoregressive (VAR) models over the period 2010-2018, and identify the shock by imposing sign restrictions. Our results suggest that the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012843420
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New Output Gap Estimates for Assessing Fiscal Policy with Lessons for Euro Area Reform
Oksanen, Heikki - 2019
Output gaps (OG) identify economic cycles and the cyclical and structural components in government budget balances. A new simple method for estimating OGs is presented here. The new results are more transparent than those published by the leading economic policy institutions. - The retroactive...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012892285
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Reforming the Euro Pragmatically : Towards Sustainable Fiscal Policy and a Revamped Eurosystem
Oksanen, Heikki - 2019
The conflicting standpoints on reforming the euro are creating more controversies than practical results. Mistrust between the participants led to short-sighted fiscal discipline that has amplified the economic disturbances. Expert analysis on the proposed reforms is often deficient as the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012860367
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The Euro Area Government Spending Multiplier in Demand- and Supply-Driven Recessions
di Serio, Mario; Fragetta, Matteo; Gasteiger, Emanuel; … - 2022
We estimate government spending multipliers in demand- and supply-driven recessions for the Euro Area. Multipliers in a moderately demand-driven recession are 2-3 times larger than in a moderately supply-driven recession, with the difference between multipliers being non-zero with very high...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013292507
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Designing the Policy Mix in a Monetary Union
Kempf, Hubert - 2020
This paper studies the design of the policy mix in a monetary union, that is, the institutional arrangement specifying the relationships between the various policymakers present in the union and the extent of their capacity of action. It is assumed that policymakers do not cooperate. Detailing...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012832189
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The Effects of Monetary Policy Surprises and Fiscal Sustainability Regimes in the Euro Area
Afonso, António; Alves, José; Ionta, Serena - 2023
We study the effect of monetary surprise shocks on real output and the price level, conditioned on different fiscal sustainability regimes in the period 2001Q4-2021Q4. First, we estimate time-varying fiscal sustainability coefficients based on Bohn’s (1998) approach through Schlicht’s (2003)...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014346445
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Macroeconomic Policy Making and Current Account Imbalances in the Euro Area
Murai, Taiki; Schnabl, Gunther - 2021
The paper analyses the role of fiscal and monetary policy for the development of the current account imbalances in the euro area, including the most recent developments during the coronavirus crisis. Several financial transmission channels such as international bank lending, changes in TARGET2...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013221180