This paper compares volatility forecasts for the RTS Index (the main index for the Russian stock market) generated by … alternative models, specifically option-implied volatility forecasts based on the Black-Scholes model, ARCH/GARCH-type model … information content). Various forecasting performance tests are carried out which suggest that both implied volatility and …

1996-2007, we show that firms with higher export intensity exhibit a lower volatility of skilled labor demand relative to … the volatility of unskilled labor demand. Our identification strategy is based on an instrumental variable approach to … provide evidence on the causal effect of the export performance of the firm on the volatility of employment of different …

, and (iii) employment protection – shape fiscal multipliers and output volatility. Our theoretical model highlights that … more stringent labor market institutions attenuate both fiscal spending multipliers and macroeconomic volatility. This is …

volatility índices (namely the originally created RTSVX and the new RVI that has replaced it), using daily data over the period … assumed to follow a white noise or autocorrelated process, it is confirmed by the rolling window estimation, and it holds for …

This study examines the impact of investors' buy and sell trades on Korean stock market volatility across two crisis … on volatility that depends on the type of investor trading and on the phase of the business cycle. Buy orders appear to … be more informative than sell orders since they mostly lower volatility in the pre-crisis periods, while sell and post …

than by GARCH type volatility estimates. The t-DCC estimation procedure is applied to a portfolio of daily returns on …-DCC specification. The t-DCC model also passes a number of VaR diagnostic tests over an evaluation sample. The estimation results … suggest a general trend towards a lower level of return volatility, accompanied by a rising trend in conditional cross …