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We investigate the potential for statistical forecasting of aggregate oil and gas investment on the Norwegian … random walk benchmark in an out-of-sample environment. Second, lags of investment growth, crude oil price growth and realized … volatility is found to be adequate predictors for the investment growth. Finally, there is a clear benefit from re-estimating the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011555555
Business groups in emerging markets perform better than unaffiliated firms. One explanation is that business groups substitute some functions of missing institutions, for example, enforcing contracts. We investigate this by setting up a model where firms within the business group are connected...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010263949
investment in public and private education for low-skilled workers. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012425604
When investment is irreversible, theory suggests that firms will be "reluctant to invest." This reluctance creates a … wedge between the discount rate guiding investment decisions and the standard Jorgensonian user cost (adjusted for risk). We …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010264335
shock. Our estimated model uncovers a central role for investment in the transmission mechanism of monetary policy, as high … MPCs amplify the investment response in the data. This force also generates a procyclical response of consumption to … investment shocks, leading our model to infer a central role for these shocks as a source of business cycles …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012842965
Macroeconomic and sector-specific shocks exert differential effects on investment in disaggregate sectoral data. The … monotonically. A calibrated model of investment with convex capital adjustment costs and rational inattention explains these … features of the data. The model matches the empirical responses of sectoral investment because learning about shocks generates …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012827670
equilibrium, general-equilibrium effects overturn this result: a monetary expansion increases the investment of high …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013311708
that anticipate the actual tax base incorrectly. I analyze the effects of stochastic taxation on investment behavior in a … the effects of both tax base and tax rate uncertainty, the investment's tax payment is modelled as a stochastic process …. Increased tax uncertainty has an ambiguous impact on investment timing. The view that tax uncertainty depresses real investment …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013316889
demonstrates the neutrality properties of the reform with respect to investment, firm financial decisions and organizational choice …. Tax rates are chosen to prevent income shifting from labor to capital income. The reform decisively strengthens investment …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010271071
Cash holdings at the onset of a financial crisis are a key determinant of investment by SMEs not only during the crisis … persistent and growing investment gap. The amplification effect was present for SMEs with both volatile and stable cash holdings …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013229694