Showing 1 - 10 of 527
This paper estimates a bivariate HEAVY system including daily and intra-daily volatility equations and its macro …-augmented asymmetric power extension. It focuses on economic factors that exacerbate stock market volatility and represent major threats to … commodity markets on stock market realized volatility. Specifically, Economic Policy Uncertainty is shown to be one of the main …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012844423
How damaging are uncertainty shocks during extreme events such as the great recession and the Covid-19 outbreak? Can monetary policy limit output losses in such situations? We use a nonlinear VAR framework to document the large response of real activity to a financial uncertainty shock during...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012822498
We revisit and extend the study by Chordia et al. (2014) which documents that, in recent years, increased liquidity has significantly decreased exploitable returns of capital market anomalies in the US. Using a novel international dataset of arbitrage portfolio returns for four well-known...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012908691
-regulated market, it is plausible that the main driver of the increase in stock market volatility should be the information effect …This paper examines the relationship between aggregate insider trading (AIT) and stock market volatility using monthly …-run increase in stock market volatility; this can be attributed to a combination of insiders manipulating the timing and content of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014347820
-switching models, and forecast combination to predict the dynamics in the S&P 500. First, we aggregate the weekly information of 115 … as predictors. Third, we pool the forecasts in clusters to hedge against model risk and to evaluate the usefulness of …, and reducing tail risk. Using the same approach for return forecasts, however, does not lead to a consistent …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013250734
making and risk management. Over the past three decades there has been a trend towards increased asset return correlations … return correlations using weekly returns on futures markets and investigate the extent to which multivariate volatility … models proposed in the literature can be used to formally characterize and quantify market risk. In particular, we ask how …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010276271
. Uncertainty, in contrast, increases the response. We rationalize our findings in a model of imperfect information. In the model …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013251271
We develop a novel firm-level measure of cybersecurity risk using textual analysis of cybersecurity-risk disclosures in … corporate filings. The measure successfully identifies firms extensively discussing cybersecurity risk in their 10-K, displays … intuitive relations with quantitative measures of cybersecurity risk disclosure language, exhibits a positive trend over time …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013314803
We propose and implement a procedure to dynamically hedge climate change risk. We extract innovations from climate news … change hedge portfolios. We discipline the exercise by using third-party ESG scores of firms to model their climate risk … approaches to managing climate risk …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012866389
information. Respondents who learn of a higher personal exposure to unemployment risk during recessions increase their demand for … rational inattention that demand for information depends on its expected benefit. Moreover, the fact that perceived risk … exposure responds to information highlights frictions in households’ knowledge about the personal relevance of particular …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013315172