Ash, Elliott; Galletta, Sergio; Giommoni, Tommaso - 2021
to detailed accounts of local budgets and audit data on the associated fiscal corruption. Using the budget variables as … predictors, we train a tree-based gradient-boosted classifier to predict the presence of corruption in held-out test data. The … trained model, when applied to new data, provides a prediction-based measure of corruption that can be used for new empirical …