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Historically, people have often expressed negative feelings toward speculators, a sentiment that might have even been reinforced since the latest financial crisis, during which taxpayer money was warranted or spent to bail out reckless investors. In this paper, we conjecture that judges may also...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012892211
Inflation expectations are central to economics because they affect the effectiveness of fiscal and monetary policy as well as realized inflation. We survey the recent literature with a focus on the inflation expectations of households. We first review standard data sources and discuss their...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013298365
We show that the disposition effect–the tendency of investors to hold losers and sell winners–can be a source of overconfidence. We find experimental evidence that individuals update beliefs about their own investment ability based on realized gains and losses rather than the overall...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014358104
The adaptive learning approach has been fruitfully employed to model the formation of aggregate expectations at the macroeconomic level, as an alternative to rational expectations. This paper uses adaptive learning to understand, instead, the formation of expectations at the micro-level, by...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012831652
empirically in a large scale online experiment and in the laboratory. In both experiments, the second mover’s lying propensity …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012892217
Reporting private information is a key part of economic decision making. A recent literature has found that many people have a preference for honest reporting, contrary to usual economic assumptions. In this paper, we investigate whether preferences for honesty are malleable and what determines...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013231961
Artificial intelligence (AI) is starting to pervade the economic and social life rendering strategic interactions with artificial agents more and more common. At the same time, experimental economic research has increasingly employed computer players to advance our understanding of strategic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012859609
News reports and communication are inherently constrained by space, time, and attention. As a result, news sources often condition the decision of whether to share a piece of information on the similarity between the signal and the prior belief of the audience, which generates a sample selection...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012840217
We study the endowment effect and expectation-based reference points in the field leveraging the setup of the Socio-Economic Panel. Households receive a small item for taking part in the panel, and we randomly assign respondents either a towel or a notebook, which they can exchange at the end of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014264450
By means of a laboratory experiment, we show that, contrary to standard consumer theory, financially equivalent balance …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012845685