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In this paper, we propose a novel index for measuring intra-generational redistribution in pay-as-you-go pension …-generational redistribution isolated from possible inter-generational redistribution. We use contribution records of approx. 100,000 German … individuals, who progressed into retirement in 2007-2015, to measure the level of intra-generational redistribution in the German …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012837478
relationship between inequality of entitlements, mortality risk, and the size of redistribution in a stylized social security …In most OECD countries, pension reform policy has decreased the level of intragenerational redistribution over the last … three decades, that is, redistribution among members of the same generation with high and low pension entitlements. This …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013292508
expectancy uses a Bayesian Model Ensemble approach to stochastic mortality modelling to generate forecasts of intergenerationally …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013314670
Pay-as-you-go (PAYG) social security schemes in the OECD countries are facing solvency problems, as people are living longer and birth rates have declined. Postponing the full retirement age (FRA), when retirees are entitled to full pension, has been proposed as a solution. This effectively...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013314811
Using an overlapping generations model, two new indicators of public pension system sustainability are proposed: the pension space, which measures the capacity to pay for pension expenditures out of labour taxation, and the pension space exhaustion probability reflecting demographic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014347982
We model the optimal reaction of a public PAYG pension system to demographic shocks. We compare the ex-ante first best and second best solution of a Ramsey planner with full commitment to the outcome under simple third best rules that mimic the pension systems observed in the real world. The...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010264455
In this paper we identify conditions under which the introduction of a pay-as-you-go social security system is ex-ante Pareto-improving in a stochastic overlapping generations economy with capital accumulation and land. We argue that these conditions are consistent with many calibrations of the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010263901
This paper analyzes the welfare effects of the Italian social security system in an economy with uncertainty on wages, financial market returns and life expectancy. The introduction of a pension system reproducing the Italian statutory scheme turns out to decrease ex-ante individual welfare,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010266019
This paper analyzes the sustainability of intergenerational transfers in politico-economic equilibrium. Embedding electoral competition for the votes of old and young households in the standard Diamond (1965) OLG model, we find that intergenerational transfers naturally arise in a Markov perfect...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010261297
We extend economic equivalence results, like the Ricardian equivalence proposition, to the political sphere where policy is chosen sequentially. We derive conditions under which a policy regime (summarizing admissible policy choices in every period) and a state are politico-economically...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010280834