Showing 1 - 10 of 2,278
infinite-horizon learning, and subjective expectations with Euler-equation learning. Under rational expectations, the model … necessitates of large, possibly unrealistically so, degrees of myopia. The same result persists under infinite-horizon learning …, given that agents are still remarkably farsighted. But, under Euler-equation learning, the model can fit the data with only …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013229788
-social behaviors. This study investigates a large-scale behavioral intervention designed to actively leverage social learning and peer …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012827672
The adaptive learning approach has been fruitfully employed to model the formation of aggregate expectations at the … macroeconomic level, as an alternative to rational expectations. This paper uses adaptive learning to understand, instead, the … sentiment, defined as the degrees of excess optimism and pessimism that cannot be justified by the near-rational learning model …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012831652
learning as a two-armed bandit problem and highlight the interaction between learning (experimentation) and production. We …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012892041
study experimentally to what extent cross-game learning can reduce overbidding in SPAs, taking into account cognitive skills … losses from high bids are more salient than in SPAs. Experience in FPAs causes substantial cross-game learning for … bid shading by cognitively more able participants, resulting in lower profits in FPAs. Thus, cross-game learning has the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013314693
This paper develops and solves a spatiotemporal equilibrium model in which regional wages and house prices are jointly determined with location-to-location migration flows. The agent’s optimal location choice and the resultant migration process are shown to be Markovian, with the transition...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013323973
This paper examines the role of central bank governors in monetary policy decisions taken by a committee. To carry out this analysis, we constructed a novel dataset of committee voting behaviour for six OECD countries for up to three decades. Using a range of Taylor-rule specifications, we show...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012861451
This review paper articulates the relationship between prediction market data and event studies, with a special focus on applications in political economy. Event studies have been used to address a variety of political economy questions - from the economic effects of party control of government...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010274808
This paper studies experimentally when and how ideological motives shape group decision-making outcomes. Groups repeatedly decide between a monetarily preferred outcome that generates a high payoff but also an ideologically undesirable externality, or an ideologically preferred outcome that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013243248
We investigate overlapping contests in multi-divisional organizations in which an individual's effort simultaneously determines the outcome of several contests on different hierarchical levels. We show that individuals in smaller units are advantaged in the grand (organization-wide) contest for...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012845683