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We postulate a nonlinear DSGE model with a financial sector and heterogeneous households. In our model, the interaction between the supply of bonds by the financial sector and the precautionary demand for bonds by households produces significant endogenous aggregate risk. This risk induces an...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012825400
This paper studies the unemployment accelerator, a mechanism where workers directly affect the firms’ financial … conditions, and, in turn, firms’ financial conditions feedback again to the real economy. The unemployment accelerator builds on … in labor and financial markets. We provide compelling micro-evidence of the unemployment accelerator: a 10% increase in a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011584947
increase in their unemployment rate and not a decline in labour force participation rate. Policymakers should take account of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012844419
. Using a Bayesian proxy-VAR estimated with U.S. data, we show how distribution shocks trigger output and unemployment …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013235101
We estimate Okun's law, the negative relationship between output and the unemployment rate, at the sector level for the … coefficients are proportional to the aggregate in all four countries. We also show that the standard deviation of unemployment is …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012841145
How much does inequality matter for the business cycle and vice versa? Using a Bayesian likelihood approach, we estimate a heterogeneous-agent New-Keynesian (HANK) model with incomplete markets and portfolio choice between liquid and illiquid assets. The model enlarges the set of shocks and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012841741
A common practice in empirical macroeconomics is to examine alternative recursive orderings of the variables in structural vector autogressive (VAR) models. When the implied impulse responses look similar, the estimates are considered trustworthy. When they do not, the estimates are used to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014240870
unemployment and its duration distribution. Using the SIPP, we document the relation between workers' (gross and net) occupational … mobility and unemployment duration over the long run and business cycle. To interpret this evidence, we develop an analytically … countercyclical net occupational mobility, the large volatility of unemployment and the cyclical properties of the unemployment …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012833736
economy permanently operates below capacity due to both structural unemployment and underemployment. The latter is a direct … demand and supply shocks are opposite to those of the standard case and result in a co-movement of unemployment and … explain movements of unemployment and underemployment in opposite directions. Finally, we show that fluctuations in the total …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012832192
We document substantial cross-sectional heterogeneity of German establishments’ real wage cyclicality over the business cycle. While wages of the median establishment are moderately procyclical, 36 percent of establishments have countercyclical wages. We estimate a negative connection between...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013212779