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The COVID-19 Pandemic and European Trade Flows : Evidence from a Dynamic Panel Model
Caporale, Guglielmo Maria; Sova, Anamaria; Sova, Robert - 2022
This paper investigates the impact of the Covid-19 pandemic on trade flows in the case of the European countries. First, an ARDL dynamic panel model is estimated using the PMG method to analyse monthly data covering the most recent period (2019M1-2021M12); then, the GMM and PCSE approaches are...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014080051
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The Direct and Indirect Effects of Financial Development on International Trade : Evidence from the CEEC-6
Caporale, Guglielmo Maria; Sova, Anamaria Diana; Sova, … - 2021
This paper analyses the relationship between international trade and financial development in six EU members from Central and Eastern Europe (CEEC-6) using dynamic panel data approaches, specifically the system Generalized Method of Moments (GMM) and pooled mean group (PMG) estimators. The...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013315285
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The COVID-19 Pandemic and European Trade Patterns : A Sectoral Analysis
Caporale, Guglielmo Maria; Sova, Anamaria; Sova, Robert - 2022
This paper examines how the Covid-19 pandemic affected European trade patterns. Specifically, dynamic panel data models are estimated to assess the effects on exports and imports of various sectors and products (selected on the basis of their trading volume or strategic importance) of the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014241202
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China's Overinvestment and International Trade Conflict
Schnabl, Gunther - 2019
For a long time, China's impressive growth performance has been driven by investment and high productivity gains. Based … on the recent discussion on possible overcapacities and overinvestment in China, the paper investigates the … sustainability of China's investment- and export-driven growth model. It is shown that since the turn of the millennium buoyant …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012866404
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Gains and losses of India-China trade cooperation: a gravity model impact analysis
Bhattacharya, Swapan K.; Bhattacharyay, Biswa N. - 2007
As revealed by the trade intensity indices, India and the People's Republic of China have significant bilateral trade … imports of both India and China due to different preferential trading arrangements and free trade arrangements using the … gravity model. Empirical results show that in the short run India's potential gain is relatively less compared to China …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010272698
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The Short-Run and Long-Run Effects of Trade Openness on Financial Development : Some Panel Evidence for Europe
Caporale, Guglielmo Maria; Sova, Anamaria; Sova, Robert - 2021
This paper analyses the short- and long-run effects of trade openness on financial development in a panel including data on 35 European countries over the period 2001-2019. For this purpose, it uses the PMG (pooled mean group) estimator for dynamic panels developed by Pesaran et al. (1999). The...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013227601
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Modeling international trade flows between CEEC and OECD countries
Rault, Christophe; Sova, Robert; Sova, Anamaria - 2008
This article deals with econometric developments for the estimation of gravity model, which allow to get convergent parameter estimates even when a correlation exists between the explanatory variables and the specific unobservable characteristics of each individual. We implement panel data...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010276755
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How free trade can help convert the 'Arab Spring' into permanent peace and democracy
Gylfason, Thorvaldur; Martínez, Inmaculada; Wijkman, … - 2012
Since Jean Monnet conceived the Coal and Steel Community, free trade has successfully prevented serious conflicts in Europe between democratically governed States with market economies. After six countries established the European Community, this principle has been extended successfully to its...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010283618
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Beyond Target: Indirect Impacts of Antidumping
Jean, Sébastien; Lefebvre, Kevin - 2024
firms. It focuses on the country whose exports are most exposed to such measures, China. Product-level analysis shows that …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015047300
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The Falling Elasticity of Global Trade to Economic Activity : Testing the Demand Channel
Auboin, Marc - 2018
Since the recovery from the great financial crisis in 2010, global real trade flows grew much slower than pre-crisis, in both absolute terms (growth rates) and relative terms (relative to GDP, from 2:1 in the great 1990’s to 1:1 since 2012) A debate has arisen as to whether this global trade...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012908674