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Using quarterly data on four commodity exporting countries, we study the explanatory power of real commodity prices for predicting real effective exchange rates, with special attention to the separate roles of different sectoral commodity prices during alternative time periods. We find that the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014244327
This paper examines the causal effects of shifts in international food commodity prices on euro area inflation dynamics using a structural VAR model that is identified with an external instrument (i.e. a series of global harvest shocks). The results reveal that exogenous food commodity price...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012892245
Using time-varying BVARs, we find that oil price increases caused by oil supply shocks did not affect food commodity prices before the start of the millennium, but had positive spillover effects in more recent periods. Likewise, shortfalls in global food commodity supply--resulting from bad...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012861447
The positive relationship between real exchange rates and natural resource income is well understood and studied. However, climate change and the transition to a lower-carbon economy now challenges this relationship. We document this by proposing a novel news media-based measure of climate...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013314753
In this paper, we study the role of Confucius Institute in supporting internationalization of Chinese enterprises. Employing a panel dataset containing 66 Belt-Road countries and 75 non Belt-Road countries from 2006 to 2017, we find that the Confucius Institute has had a positive effect on...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012826003
(China, India, Russia, Brazil) on the other. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010264483
predicted by estimates based upon a cross-country sample, when using the 2006 vintage of the World Development Indicators. The … capital stock is accounted for. Thus, the China-US trade balance should respond to real exchange rate and relative income …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010264589
We investigate the empirical determinants of China's outward direct investment (ODI). It is found that China … developed and developing countries, there is evidence that a) both market seeking and resources seeking motives drive China …'s ODI, b) the Chinese exports to developing countries induce China's ODI, c) China's international reserves promote its ODI …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010264615
Since 2004, China has been backed into a situation where the renminbi is expected to go ever higher against the dollar ….S. dollar, the resulting monetary explosion in China contributes to the worldwide increase in primary commodity priceswith …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010275871
In this paper, we provide evidence that expanding firms tend to serve new markets which are geographically close and culturally related to their prior export destinations. We quantify the impact of this spatial pattern using a Chinese firm-level data set. To ensure an exogenous set of potential...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010280629