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The COVID-19 Pandemic and the Degree of Persistence of US Stock Prices and Bond Yields
Caporale, Guglielmo Maria; Gil-Alana, Luis A.; Poza, Carlos - 2021
prices and bond yields using fractional integration techniques. The model is estimated first over the period January 1966 … pandemic period. We find that the unit root hypothesis cannot be rejected for stock prices while for bond yields the results … differ depending on the maturity date and the specification of the error term. In general, bond yields appear to be more …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013235116
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The Effects of the COVID-19 Pandemic on Stock Markets, CDS and Economic Activity : Time-Varying Evidence from the US and Europe
Caporale, Guglielmo Maria; Catik, Abdurrahman Nazif; … - 2021
This paper examines the effects of the COVID-19 pandemic on stock returns, CDS and economic activity in the US and the five European countries (the UK, Germany, France, Italy, and Spain) which have been most affected. The sample period covers the dates from the first confirmed COVID-19 cases in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013211119
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Modelling Persistence and Non-Linearities in the US Treasury 10-Year Bond Yields
Caporale, Guglielmo Maria; Gil-Alana, Luis A.; Yaya, … - 2022
This paper analyses persistence and non-linearities in quarterly and monthly US Treasury 10-year bond yields over the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013306037
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US Municipal Green Bonds and Financial Integration
Caporale, Guglielmo Maria; Spagnolo, Nicola - 2023
green bond returns and volatilities. On the whole, the evidence suggests weaker linkages, and thus a lower degree of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014358701
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Endogenous vs Exogenous Instability: An Out-of-Sample Comparison
Gatti, Domenico Delli; Gusella, Filippo; Ricchiuti, Giorgio - 2024
Given the unobserved nature of expectations, this paper employs latent variable analysis to examine three financial instability models and assess their out-of-sample forecasting accuracy. We compare a benchmark linear random walk model, which implies exogenous instability phenomena, with a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014534331
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Networks of Volatility Spillovers among Stock Markets
Baumöhl, Eduard; Kocenda, Ev en; Lyócsa, Stefan; … - 2017
In our network analysis of 40 developed, emerging and frontier stock markets during 2006–2014, we describe and model volatility spillovers during global financial crisis and tranquil periods. The resulting market interconnectedness is depicted by fitting a spatial model incorporating several...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011657197
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The International Monetary Fund: 70 Years of Reinvention
Reinhart, Carmen M.; Trebesch, Christoph - 2015
A sketch of the International Monetary Fund’s 70-year history reveals an institution that has reinvented itself over time along multiple dimensions. This history is primarily consistent with a “demand driven” theory of institutional change, as the needs of its clients and the type of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011431217
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Investors' Trading Behaviour and Stock Market Volatility during Crisis Periods: A Dual Long-Memory Model for the Korean Stock Exchange
Caporale, Guglielmo Maria; Karanasos, Menelaos; Yfanti, … - 2019
This study examines the impact of investors' buy and sell trades on Korean stock market volatility across two crisis events, the Asian crisis of 1997 and the 2008 global financial crash. We investigate the trading behaviour of domestic vs. foreign and institutional vs. individual investors. Our...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012179783
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Macro-Financial Linkages in the High-Frequency Domain: The Effects of Uncertainty on Realized Volatility
Caporale, Guglielmo Maria; Karanasos, Menelaos; Yfanti, … - 2019
This paper estimates a bivariate HEAVY system including daily and intra-daily volatility equations and its macro-augmented asymmetric power extension. It focuses on economic factors that exacerbate stock market volatility and represent major threats to financial stability. In particular, it...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012179799
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Energy Contagion in the COVID-19 Crisis
Heinlein, Reinhold; Legrenzi, Gabriella Deborah; … - 2020
We investigate the relationship between oil prices and stock markets of selected oil importers and oil exporters at the time of the COVID-19 pandemic. We provide evidence in favour of energy contagion, in term of significantly higher correlations between oil and stock markets returns during...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012227685