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We revisit UK’s poor productivity performance since the Great Recession by means of both a suitable theoretical … over time, and distinguish between quantity total factor productivity (TFP-Q), i.e., the capacity to turn inputs into more … physical output (number of shirts, liters of beer), and what we call revenue total factor productivity (TFPR), i …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013314807
We study optimal monetary policy during temporary supply contractions when aggregate demand has inertia and expansionary policy is constrained. In this environment, it is optimal to run the economy hot until supply recovers. Positive output gaps in the low-supply phase lessen the negative output...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013282457
What are the effects of beliefs, sentiment, and uncertainty, over the business cycle? To answer this question, we develop a behavioral New Keynesian macroeconomic model, in which we relax the assumption of rational expectations. Agents are, instead, boundedly rational: they have a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013315209
interactions between MP and trade. According to the model with MP, supply-side productivity shocks contributed to the collapse of … to shocks that affected aggregate productivity and were specific to multinationals in a few key headquarters countries …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014358332
Macroeconomic and sector-specific shocks exert differential effects on investment in disaggregate sectoral data. The response to macroeconomic shocks is hump-shaped, just as in aggregate data. The effects of sectoral innovations decrease monotonically. A calibrated model of investment with...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012827670
strategy exploits the heterogeneous impact of the shock on importers. The results indicate that this relatively minor, non …-localized shock had a non-trivial economic impact on exposed firms and propagated downstream through affected suppliers. Additional …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013315210
This paper presents a simple and tractable equilibrium model of repos, where collateralized credit emerges under limited commitment. We show that even if there is no time variation in fundamentals, repo markets can fluctuate endogenously over time. In our theory, repo market fragilities are...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012892066
Research about narratives’ role in economics is scarce, while real word experience and research in other sciences suggest they matter a lot. This article proposes a view and methodology for quantifying the epidemiology of media narratives relevant to business cycles in the US, Japan, and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012892114
How much does inequality matter for the business cycle and vice versa? Using a Bayesian likelihood approach, we estimate a heterogeneous-agent New-Keynesian (HANK) model with incomplete markets and portfolio choice between liquid and illiquid assets. The model enlarges the set of shocks and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012841741
an uncertainty shock. We find a significantly stronger response of real activity in recessions. Counterfactual …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012824829