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In statistics, samples are drawn from a population in a data-generating process (DGP). Standard errors measure the uncertainty in sample estimates of population parameters. In science, evidence is generated to test hypotheses in an evidence-generating process (EGP). We claim that EGP variation...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013312068
-level productivity and scale effects. I show here that the incorporation of theory-based endogenous markups into AGE models is not …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014357511
This paper examines how skill-biased growth can generate economic fragmentation (income dis-parities) that give rise to social fragmentation (the adoption of increasingly incompatible social identities and values), which generate political fragmentation (the adoption of increasingly incompatible...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012859600
We examine partisan bias in inflation expectations. Our dataset includes inflation expectations of the New York Fed … based on how partisans respond to changes in the White House's occupant (partisan bias). The results also corroborate the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012860297
Conditional yield skewness is an important summary statistic of the state of the economy. It exhibits pronounced variation over the business cycle and with the stance of monetary policy, and a tight relationship with the slope of the yield curve. Most importantly, variation in yield skewness has...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013222193
Evidence from hypothetical scenarios strongly suggests the existence of a sunk cost bias, the tendency to ‘throw good … psychological channels underlying such a bias is scarce. We present a laboratory experiment designed to investigate the sunk cost … bias and to test some prominent psychological mechanisms. Inspired by the hypothetical scenarios, we use a two …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013315181
European countries for more than a decade, we estimate time-varying individual level bias in ‘survival expectations' (BSE) at …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013311581
fixed effects estimator, which ignores measurement errors, is biased. By correcting for the bias one can construct …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010264605
Multicollinearity, especially in combination with errors-in-variables, can increase the likelihood of a Type-I error by inflating the value of the estimated coefficients by more than it magnifies their standard errors, thereby increasing the likelihood of obtaining statistically significant...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012892129
For decades, there has been a heated debate about whether or not nuclear power plants contribute to childhood cancer in their respective neighbourhoods, with statisticians testifying on both sides. The present paper points to some flaws in the pro-arguments, taking a recent study prepared for...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010274833