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were from election dates. The gradual relaxation of “lockdown style” restrictions ahead of the elections was driven by …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014346606
1930s and was still raging when he left office. We analyze how the trade war impacted the 2020 US Presidential election …-back of such expansion. Absent this anti-Trump effect, Trump would have been on the precipice of re-election by winning …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013266634
A common narrative is that COVID-19 cost Trump re-election. We do not find supporting evidence; if anything, the … effect, our estimates imply Trump would been on the precipice of re-election by winning Georgia, Arizona, Nevada, and only …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012493002
1930s and was still raging when he left office. We analyze how the trade war impacted the 2020 US Presidential election …-back of such expansion. Absent this anti-Trump effect, Trump would have been on the precipice of re-election by winning …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013293028
While still far from parity, female representation in politics has continuously increased over the last two decades worldwide. In light of this development, we analyze whether higher female representation has substantive effects on policy choices using the example of child care – a public good...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012844418
from the right and one from the left, using panel data from 290 municipal election districts. To identify causal effects … incumbency advantage in the next election. Exploring possible mechanisms, we find evidence that when the anti-immigrant party … wins a marginal seat, they experience higher levels of politician turnover before the next election and receive negative …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012908687
The concept of electoral competition plays a central role in many subfields of political science, but no consensus exists on how to measure it. One key challenge is how to conceptualize and measure electoral competitiveness at the district level across alternative electoral systems. Recent...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012892168
We assess the influence of moneyed interests on legislative decisions. Our theory predicts that the vote outcome distribution and donation flows in a legislature feature a discontinuity at the approval threshold of bills if special interest groups are involved in vote buying. Testing the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012861433
election relative to an analogous impact for men who closely win or lose a state legislature election. We find that the effect …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012861450
We analyze how the introduction of the voting advice application (VAA) smartvote affects voter turnout, voting behavior and electoral outcomes. The Swiss context offers an ideal setting to identify the causal effects of online information with aggregate real world data because smartvote was...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013249647