Showing 1 - 10 of 1,295
This paper examines the causal effects of shifts in international food commodity prices on euro area inflation dynamics …%- 30% of inflation volatility. In addition, large autonomous swings in international food prices contributed significantly … to the twin puzzle of missing disinflation and missing inflation in the era after the Great Recession. Specifically …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012892245
Are land locked countries subject to sea-level rise risk? We highlight a new mechanism by which physical climate shocks affects countries’ macro-financial performance: the cross-border spillover effects that propagate through international trade. Basing our findings on historical data between...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014357033
We analyze how trade openness matters for interstate conflict over productive resources. Our analysis features a terms-of-trade channel that makes security policies trade-regime dependent. Specifically, trade between two adversaries reduces each one’s incentive to arm given the opponent’s...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012892081
Trade costs are crucial in new economic geography (NEG) models. The unavailability of actual trade costs data requires the approximation of trade costs. Most NEG studies do not deal with the ramifications of the particular trade costs specification used. This paper shows that the specification...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013316892
We consider a dynamic setting in which two sovereign states with overlapping ownership claims on a resource/asset first arm and then choose whether to resolve their dispute violently through war or peacefully through settlement. Both approaches depend on the states’ military capacities, but...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014243081
We study the impact of grandparental retirement decisions on family members’ labor supply and child outcomes by exploiting a Dutch pension reform in a fuzzy Regression Discontinuity design. A one-hour increase in grandmothers’ hours worked causes adult daughters with young children to work...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014081430
During the last decades, the United States has applied increasingly high trade protection against China. We combine detailed information on US antidumping (AD) duties — the most widely used trade barrier — with US input-output data to study the effects of trade protection along supply...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013251244
Global value chains have fundamentally transformed international trade and development in recent decades. We use matched firm-level customs and manufacturing survey data, together with Input-Output tables for China, to examine how Chinese firms position themselves in global production lines and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012501399
This paper examines the reaction of house prices in a panel of euro area countries to monetary policy surprises over the period 2010-2019. Using Jordà’s (2005) local projection method, we find that real house prices rise in response to expansionary monetary policy shocks that can be related...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013229702
We study the effects of forward-looking communication in an environment of rising inflation rates on German consumers …’ inflation expectations using a randomized control trial. We show that information about rising inflation increases short- and … long-term inflation expectations. This initial increase in expectations can be mitigated using forward-looking information …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014358863