Showing 1 - 10 of 689
We study the effects of forward-looking communication in an environment of rising inflation rates on German consumers …’ inflation expectations using a randomized control trial. We show that information about rising inflation increases short- and … long-term inflation expectations. This initial increase in expectations can be mitigated using forward-looking information …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014358863
This paper studies the causal effect of inflation literacy on inflation expectations and trust in the central bank …, we first test the effect of non-numerical information about inflation and monetary policy, the literacy treatment. In the … the literacy treatment, incorporate quantitative information differently into their inflation forecasts. We find that the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014346849
This paper investigates the heterogeneity of monetary policy transmission under time-varying disagreement regimes using a threshold VAR. Empirically, I establish that during times of high disagreement, prices respond more sluggishly in response to monetary shocks. These stickier prices cause a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012858703
Inflation targeting is implemented in different ways – most often by adopting point targets, by having tolerance bands … target types affect the anchoring of inflation expectations at shorter horizons differently. It tests two contradictory …. This suggests that there are some benefits to adopting intervals, but the central bank can anchor inflation expectations …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013231960
coverage of high-frequency identified monetary policy announcements on households’ inflation expectations in an event study and …, the adaptation of inflation expectations is stronger than without coverage. Second, we find that coverage of ‘delphic … shocks lead to households lowering their inflation expectations, as opposed to coverage of a textbook, ‘odyssean’, monetary …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014260707
We estimate perceptions about the Fed’s monetary policy rule from panel data on professional forecasts of interest rates and macroeconomic conditions. The perceived dependence of the federal funds rate on economic conditions is time-varying and cyclical: high during tightening episodes but low...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014263922
same inflation or interest rate expectations can differently assess whether the level of the corresponding variable is … and affects durable spending and saving decisions. We also show that the variation in inflation preferences can be …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013293855
We study the effects of professionals’ survey-based inflation expectations on inflation for a large number of 36 OECD … economies, using dynamic cross-country panel estimation of New-Keynesian Phillips curves. We find that inflation expectations … have a significantly positive effect on inflation. We also find that the effect of inflation expectations on inflation is …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013311706
expected inflation and decreases (increases) reported past (expected) inflation. Income, education, gender, objective and … that time, which supports the ‘impressionable years’ hypothesis based on different inflation experiences …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014346253
experiment of the past decade, stemming from a belief of the government that higher interest rates cause higher inflation … eventually a negative coefficient on inflation in the policy rule. In such an environment, was the exchange rate still a random … walk? Was inflation anchored? Does the “standard model” suffice to explain the broad contours of macroeconomic outcomes in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014083478