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We examine partisan bias in inflation expectations. Our dataset includes inflation expectations of the New York Fed …'s Survey of Consumer Expectations over the period June 2013 to June 2018. The results show that inflation expectations were 0 …. Compared to inflation expectations in Democratic-dominated states, inflation expectations in Republican-dominated states …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012860297
primary surpluses should lead households to anticipate this higher inflation. Are household inflation expectations sensitive … observing how they revise their expectations about future inflation as well as taxes and government spending. We find that … information about the current debt or deficit levels has little impact on inflation expectations but that news about future debt …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013244244
This paper provides a simple theoretical framework to evaluate the effect of key parameters of ranking algorithms, namely popularity and personalization parameters, on measures of platform engagement, misinformation and polarization. The results show that an increase in the weight assigned to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014243159
This paper investigates the heterogeneity of monetary policy transmission under time-varying disagreement regimes using a threshold VAR. Empirically, I establish that during times of high disagreement, prices respond more sluggishly in response to monetary shocks. These stickier prices cause a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012858703
estimating a smooth transition regression model with different inflation expectations regimes for five inflation targeting …) respectively over the period January 1993-August 2021. Both market and survey measures of inflation expectations are used as the … expectations of both consumers and producers are considered instead of expectations from consumer surveys only. Finally, inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013306953
impact inflation, little crowding out of private expenditure exists, and the multiplier tends to be larger compared to a one …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012836206
How does competition affect information acquisition of firms and thus the response of inflation and output to monetary … uncertainty about inflation as a non-targeted moment …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012836931
This paper investigates the predictive power of the shadow rate for the inflation rate in countries with a zero lower … parameters we compare the out-of-sample forecasting performance of an inflation model including a shadow rate interaction term … inflation rate are evaluated. The models including the shadow rate interaction term are found to outperform the benchmark ones …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013292499
Central bank independence (CBI) is a very important precondition for price stability. However, the empirical evidence for a correlation between both is relatively weak. In this paper, this weakness is countered with a) an extended measure of monetary commitment, which includes well-known...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013317032
same inflation or interest rate expectations can differently assess whether the level of the corresponding variable is … and affects durable spending and saving decisions. We also show that the variation in inflation preferences can be …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013293855