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uninsured capital income risk, and suffer from an information-processing capacity constraint. For given attention devoted to … capital income risk, we solve for the optimal consumption-saving choices and show that the expected welfare is increasing with … households would pay more attention to capital income risk if they have (i) lower initial wealth endowment, (ii) lower marginal …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012892117
This paper establishes new evidence on the cyclical behaviour of household income risk in Great Britain and assesses …. We then estimate how income risk, measured by the variance and the skewness of the probability distribution of shocks to … the role of social insurance policy in mitigating against this risk. We address these issues using the British Household …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012872060
asset prices and corporate default risk. Our model includes two empirically grounded nominal frictions: fixed nominal …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012892192
risk of workers, which mitigates their precautionary savings motive. Using a quantitative model analysis, we show that this … recessions. First, we show that the consumption risk of short-time work is considerably smaller compared to unemployment using …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014079142
of savings, precautionary savings, loss aversion, and risk. We provide the relevant theory, followed by empirical tests …We consider a simple, two period, consumption-savings model with future income uncertainty that examines the interplay … present bias. We predict, and show empirically, that loss aversion reduces savings, and that those who are more loss averse …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014346247
We employ a mixed-frequency quantile regression approach to model the time-varying conditional distribution of the US real GDP growth rate. We show that monthly information on the US financial cycle improves the predictive power of an otherwise quarterly-only model. We combine selected quantiles...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014242149
risk of firm default …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012892132
We propose a new empirical framework that jointly decomposes the conditional variance of economic time series into a common and a sector-specific uncertainty component. We apply our framework to a large dataset of disaggregated industrial production series for the US economy. Our results...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014243086
Releases of key macroeconomic indicators are closely watched by financial markets. We investigate the role of expectation dispersion and economic uncertainty for the stock-market reaction to indicator releases. We find that the strength of the financial market response to news decreases with the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013251271
first-order approximated solution built by perturbation methods accounts for risk. We show that risk matters economically in … a real business cycle (RBC) model with habit formation and capital adjustment costs and that neglecting risk leads to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012834991