and uncertainty? We build a model where countries disagree on policy targets and how policies affect the economies, and … show that uncertainty not only determines the type of cooperative policy but also whether countries want to cooperate at … all. Countries facing larger model disagreement also need to face larger uncertainty with respect to policy spillovers to …

We analyse the extent to which firm-level uncertainty is affected by aggregate uncertainty. Firm-level uncertainty is … constructed from a large and monthly panel dataset of manufacturing firms. We find that aggregate uncertainty has a positive and … robust impact on firm-level uncertainty. This effect holds across different types of domestic and international measures of …

How does economic uncertainty affect the impact of tax policy? We exploit a natural experiment in which two very …, and once during a period of very high uncertainty. Exploiting sharp discontinuities in eligibility and using rich … administrative data, we find that firms exposed to high uncertainty decide to "wait and see" before investing, despite generous …

choice deviate from what citizens want but that an increase in uncertainty about policy outcomes decreases this distortion …

common and a sector-specific uncertainty component. We apply our framework to a large dataset of disaggregated industrial … production series for the US economy. Our results indicate that common uncertainty and uncertainty linked to nondurable goods … both recorded their pre-pandemic global peaks during the 1973-75 recession. In contrast, durable goods uncertainty recorded …

intergenerational inequality aversion and for risk aversion. If growth increases (reduces) intra-generational inequality, the SDR is …

uninsured capital income risk, and suffer from an information-processing capacity constraint. For given attention devoted to … capital income risk, we solve for the optimal consumption-saving choices and show that the expected welfare is increasing with … capacity, assuming a relative risk aversion degree larger than unity. Furthermore, we solve for attention choice and find that …

low display more tolerance towards risk in a subsequent incentivized lottery task. This effect is mainly driven by … individuals who more firmly believe that life outcomes are beyond their control. This interaction between risk preferences and …

Economic theory suggests that the deterrence of deviant behavior is driven by a combination of severity and certainty … overlooked: the swiftness of formal sanctions. We consider two dimensions: the timing at which the uncertainty about whether one …