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Non-Standard Errors
Menkveld, Albert J. - 2021
In statistics, samples are drawn from a population in a data-generating process (DGP). Standard errors measure the uncertainty in sample estimates of population parameters. In science, evidence is generated to test hypotheses in an evidence-generating process (EGP). We claim that EGP variation...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013312068
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Incentives, Search Engines, and the Elicitation of Subjective Beliefs : Evidence from Representative Online Survey Experiments
Grewenig, Elisabeth - 2019
A large literature studies subjective beliefs about economic facts using unincentivized survey questions. We devise randomized experiments in a representative online survey to investigate whether incentivizing belief accuracy affects stated beliefs about average earnings by professional degree...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012890194
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Do Survey Expectations of Stock Returns Reflect Risk-Adjustments?
Adam, Klaus - 2019
Motivated by the observation that survey expectations of stock returns are inconsistent with rational return expectations under real-world probabilities, we investigate whether alternative expectations hypotheses entertained in the asset pricing literature are consistent with the survey...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012892287
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Five Facts About Beliefs and Portfolios
Giglio, Stefano - 2019
We administer a newly-designed survey to a large panel of retail investors who have substantial wealth invested in financial markets. The survey elicits beliefs that are crucial for macroeconomics and finance, and matches respondents with administrative data on their portfolio composition and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012866380
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Limited Self-Knowledge and Survey Response Behavior
Falk, Armin; Neuber, Thomas; Strack, Philipp - 2021
We study response behavior in surveys and show how the explanatory power of self-reports can be improved. First, we develop a choice model of survey response behavior under the assumption that the respondent has imperfect self-knowledge about her individual characteristics. In panel data, the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013219070
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Using Machine Learning and Qualitative Interviews to Design a Five-Question Women's Agency Index
Jayachandran, Seema; Biradavolu, Monica; Cooper, Jan - 2021
measure agency for 209 women in Haryana, India, first, through a semi-structured interview and, second, through a large set of … close-ended questions. We use qualitative coding methods to score each woman’s agency based on the interview, which we treat … resulting five-question index is as strongly correlated with the coded qualitative interview as is an index that uses all of the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013235120
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Understanding PRC Investment Statistics
Holz, Carsten A. - 2020
Investment statistics of the People's Republic of China are a source of many puzzles. Some investment data are of dubious quality, while the particular concepts of investment and their changing definitions over time are often poorly understood. Fixed asset investment, a remnant of the planned...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012841136
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The information content of capacity utilisation rates for output gap estimates
Graff, Michael; Sturm, Jan-Egbert - 2010
From a theoretical perspective, the output gap is probably the most comprehensive and convincing concept to describe the cyclical position of an economy. Unfortunately, for practical purposes, the concept depends on the determination of potential output, which is an inherently unobservable...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010274874
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Data Brokers Co-Opetition
Gu, Yiquan - 2019
Data brokers collect, manage, and sell customer data. We propose a simple model, in which data brokers sell data to downstream firms. We characterise the optimal strategy of data brokers and highlight the role played by the data structure for co-opetition. If data are “sub-additive”, with...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012891572
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On the Generalizability of Experimental Results in Economics: With a Response to Commentors
Al-Ubaydli, Omar; List, John A. - 2013
Economists are increasingly turning to the experimental method as a means to estimate causal effects. By using randomization to identify key treatment effects, theories previously viewed as untestable are now scrutinized, efficacy of public policies are now more easily verified, and stakeholders...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010328709