, we use a free and instantaneous available source of leading indicators, the ifo World Economic Survey (WES), to forecast …

Thomas Friedman has argued in The World is Flat that those who deny rapid globalization will not survive in the global … economy. First, we critically discuss Friedman's views and highlight the new globalization driven by outsourcing and vertical … world. The world is not flat, and the developing world certainly is not. Still, mega-cities tend to become too big. Their …

. Participation of emerging economies in world trade and longer-distance trade between countries contribute to this usage increase …

. Participation of emerging economies in world trade and longer-distance trade between countries contribute to this usage increase …

We estimate a three-variate VAR using proxies of global financial uncertainty, the global financial cycle, and world … outbreak. We predict the cumulative loss in world output one year after the uncertainty shock due to Covid-19 to be about 14% …

of the disruption in production that started in China and then quickly spread across the world. We find that the COVID-19 … shock has a considerable impact on most economies in the world, especially when a share of the labor force is quarantined …

We introduce the revised version of the KOF Globalisation Index, a composite index measuring globalization for every … country in the world along the economic, social and political dimension. The original index was introduced by Dreher (2006 … along the different dimensions of globalization. We also disentangle trade and financial globalization within the economic …