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We consolidate alternative ways for identifying stable and stressful scenarios in the S&P 500 market to construct contagion tests for recipient markets vulnerable to disturbances from this source market. The S&P 500 is decomposed into discrete conditions of: (1) Tranquil versus turbulent...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012843432
This paper analyzes the effects of several policy instruments to mitigate financial bubbles generated in the banking sector. We augment a New Keynesian macroeconomic framework by endogenizing boundedly-rational expectations on asset values of loan portfolios and allow for interbank trading. We...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012892165
We postulate a nonlinear DSGE model with a financial sector and heterogeneous households. In our model, the interaction between the supply of bonds by the financial sector and the precautionary demand for bonds by households produces significant endogenous aggregate risk. This risk induces an...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012825400
We examine the dynamic effects and empirical role of TFP news shocks in the context of frictions in financial markets. We document two new facts using VAR methods. First, a (positive) shock to future TFP generates a significant decline in various credit spread indicators considered in the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013314862
The paper employs a dynamic market-wide herding behavior measure of 117,166 lending-based campaigns in 119 online … show that herding behavior plays an important signaling role in reducing opportunity costs if the auction does not receive … enough monetary bids. Additionally, our threshold models identify significant herding behavior after funding goals are raised …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012857910
According to the widely known ‘culture of honor’ hypothesis from social psychology, traditional herding practices have … willing to take revenge in global surveys. We conclude that herding practices generated a functional psychology that plays a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013308100
This paper explores the impact of credit market on the entrepreneurs and demand for credit in a credit constrained economy and the resultant impact on the capital flows. In standard trade models the capital flows across countries are explained as a result of the rate of return differentials due...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012824582
We suggest an explanation for the existence of “mission drift”, the tendency for Microfinance Institutions (MFIs) to lend money to wealthier borrowers rather than to the very poor. We focus on the relationship between MFIs and external funding institutions. We assume that both the MFIs and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013245624
We explore the intertwined dynamics of asset prices and the macroeconomy in a Behavioural model of Credit Cycles (BCC) characterized by a credit friction à la Kiyotaki and Moore and heterogeneous expectations cum heuristic switching à la Brock and Hommes. This behavioural approach allows to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014244347
In this paper we present simulations of economic performance of the Polish economy based on a quarterly econometric model. The model consists of 22 stochastic equations, which link the financial market with the real economy. The purpose of the research is to present effects of changes to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010277058