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This paper provides a critical review of models of the spread of the coronavirus (SARS-CoV-2) that have been … influential in recent policy discussions. It notes potentially important features of the real- world environment that the standard …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012833728
Mortality and economic contraction during the 1918-1920 Great Influenza Epidemic provide plausible upper bounds for … outcomes under the coronavirus (COVID-19). Data for 43 countries imply flu-related deaths in 1918-1920 of 39 million, 2 ….0 percent of world population, implying 150 million deaths when applied to current population. Regressions with annual …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012839262
We study the impact of short-term exposure to ambient air pollution on the spread and severity of COVID-19 in Germany. We combine data on county-by-day level on confirmed cases and deaths with information on local air quality and weather conditions and exploit short-term variation in the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012824831
There is significant cross-country variation in Covid-19 fatalities worldwide. In this study, we analyze the relationship between political trust and fatalities of the Covid-19 pandemic. By performing a cross-country analysis and controlling for other determinants, we find that government trust...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013224080
Using a gravity-like approach, we study how Covid-19 deaths and lockdown policies affected countries’ imports from China during 2020. We find that a country’s own Covid-19 deaths and lockdowns significantly reduced its imports from China, suggesting that the negative demand effects prevailed...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013224091
This paper analyses the impact of the Covid-19 pandemic on stock market returns and their volatility in the case of the G20 countries. In contrast to the existing empirical literature, which typically focuses only on either Covid-19 deaths or lockdown policies, our analysis is based on a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013211740
Developments in trade finance in 2020 were largely driven by the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic. Twelve years after the great financial crisis of 2008-09, the issue of trade finance reemerged as a matter of urgency. While the current pandemic-related crisis did not have a financial cause, one...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013243239
Early non-pharmaceutical interventions (NPI) significantly reduced the death toll of the COVID-19 pandemic. Yet, there are vast differences in how quickly governments implemented NPIs. In this paper, we analyze the role of public attention, measured as the share of daily Google searches in a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012828792
The purpose of this study is to examine the relationship between globalization, Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19 … cannot explain cross-country differences in COVID-19 confirmed deaths. The fatalities of coronavirus are mostly explained by …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012832195
The risk of recurrent outbreaks following the main waves of a pandemic has been acknowledged. We provide evidence of the scale and duration of this outbreak risk. We compile municipal public health records and use national data to model the stochastic process of mortality rates after the main...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013310771