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We develop a two-period model of redistributive politics in which two politicians compete in an election in each period. In the first period, the politicians propose both whether to experiment with an efficient reform with uncertain benefits and choose the amount of public debt. Politicians also...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013236278
Scholars have been active in investigating causes and consequences of austerity policies. We examine how economists use … the term “austerity” in scientific studies and measure austerity in empirical analyses. The sample includes around 3 … austerity is often used in heterodox journals. Papers published in mainstream journals use the term “fiscal consolidation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012871647
We assess the specific need (or its absence) of a country to implement a fiscal consolidation programme by focusing specifically on their degree of success, notably in terms of fiscal sustainability. The “need” to consolidate is based on having a primary balance above or below the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013296715
We examine the sustainability of public finances and its determinants for 19 Eurozone countries from 1995 to 2020. We conclude for the existence of panel cointegration between government revenues and expenditures; primary government balance and one-period lagged public debt-to-GDP ratio; and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013296248
We asked economic experts polled by the CESifo World Economic Survey how to handle the fiscal crisis in Greece in the …-level characteristics, especially credit default swaps as a measure of fiscal stability, predict views on whether Greece should exit the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012864937
turn looks for engines of sustained growth. We use a micro-founded macroeconomic model calibrated to Greece. Our … simulations show that the adopted adjustment program (namely, the fiscal austerity mix combined with the fiscal and monetary … Greece had simply remained at its pre-crisis level. On the other hand, we show that, in the absence of the official fiscal …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012837680
France has a track record of persistent general government deficits, partly reflecting pro-cyclical fiscal policies in upswings. This has resulted in a quadrupling of its public debt-to-GDP ratio since the 1970s to above 80% of GDP. Reducing public debt is crucial because a high level of public...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010288248
We study the consequences of a large-scale austerity program targeting financially-constrained municipalities in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013353412
emissions. This paper documents that large-scale austerity, coupled with barriers to flows of data and a lack of (digital … through a regression discontinuity design in the early 2010s, we find that both the extent of austerity-induced local budget … would have taken place had it not been for austerity. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014534280
periods of turmoil, financial markets have tended to impose strong programs of austerity on member countries of the Eurozone …-induced austerity, as it occurs mainly during periods of recession, has the effect of reducing the power of the automatic stabilizers in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010480830