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In this paper, we investigate the impact of trade and financial liberalization on the degree of stock market co-movement among emerging economies. Using a sample of 25 developing countries observed over 15 years, we estimate the impact of reforms which aim at opening these countries to trade and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013316796
benchmark linear VAR models and then, given the evidence of parameter instability, TVP-VAR models with stochastic volatility …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013211119
The empirical literature of stock market predictability mainly suffers from model uncertainty and parameter instability. To meet this challenge, we propose a novel approach that combines the documented merits of diffusion indices, regime-switching models, and forecast combination to predict the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013250734
This paper examines the relationship between aggregate insider trading (AIT) and stock market volatility using monthly …-run increase in stock market volatility; this can be attributed to a combination of insiders manipulating the timing and content of …-regulated market, it is plausible that the main driver of the increase in stock market volatility should be the information effect …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014347820
This paper develops a small open economy (SOE) dynamic stochastic general equilibrium (DSGE) model that helps to explain business cycle synchronization between an emerging market and advanced economies. The model captures the specificities of both economies (e.g. primary commodity,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012866875
This paper shows that monetary policy and prudential policies interact. U.S. banks issue more commercial and industrial loans to emerging market borrowers when U.S. monetary policy eases. The effect is less pronounced for banks that are more constrained through the U.S. bank stress tests,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012858696
What role do spillover effects play in firm resilience during crises? Using high-frequency data on over 7 million import transactions, we ask this question in the context of the large trade disruption faced by US importers in the months immediately following the initial COVID-19 shock. While US...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014078197
Russia. The adopted framework allows to analyse interdependence by estimating volatility spillovers, and also contagion by … testing for possible shifts in the transmission of volatility following the introduction of the euro and EU accession. Further …. Furthermore, whilst the introduction of the euro has had mixed effects, EU accession has resulted in an increase in volatility …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010270472
This paper analyses the impact of the Covid-19 pandemic on stock market returns and their volatility in the case of the … particularly severe Covid-19 conditions decrease returns in the non-G7 countries whilst increase volatility in the G7 ones. Fiscal …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013211740
, though their volatility persistence has decreased …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013322780