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3-Step Analysis of Public Finances Sustainability : The Case of the European Union

Afonso, António - 2008

We use a 3-step analysis to assess the sustainability of public finances in the EU27. Firstly, we perform the SURADF … and revenues via SUR analysis. While results imply that public finances were not unsustainable for the EU panel, fiscal …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012770443

The Pass-Through of Exchange Rate in the Context of the European Sovereign Debt Crisis

Ben Cheikh, Nidhaleddine - 2015

This paper investigates whether exchange rate pass-through (ERPT) into import prices is a nonlinear phenomenon for five heavily indebted Euro area countries, namely the so-called GIIPS group (Greece, Ireland, Italy, Portugal, and Spain). Using logistic smooth transition models, we explore the...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013012532

Linkages between the US and European Stock Markets : A Fractional Cointegration Approach

Caporale, Guglielmo Maria - 2015

This paper analyses the long-memory properties of US and European stock indices, as well as their linkages, using fractional integration and fractional cointegration techniques. These methods are more general and have higher power than the standard ones usually employed in the literature. The...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013013497

Consequences of Brexit and Options for a 'Global Britain'

Brakman, Steven - 2017

; most studies predict a trade and welfare loss for both the UK and the EU. The UK parliament has indicated that it aims for … for the EU. After reviewing all potential options, we have a simple answer to the question whether the UK has an … alternative for the existing trade agreement with the EU. The answer is: No. Only a trade agreement with the EU can compensate for …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012955285

Central Bank Policy Rates : Are They Cointegrated?

Caporale, Guglielmo Maria - 2017

This paper analyses the stochastic properties of and the bilateral linkages between the central bank policy rates of the US, the Eurozone, Australia, Canada, Japan and the UK using fractional integration and cointegration techniques respectively. The univariate analysis suggests a high degree of...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012958879

Investigating First-Stage Exchange Rate Pass-Through : Sectoral and Macro Evidence from Euro Area Countries

Ben Cheikh, Nidhaleddine - 2017

In this paper, we evaluate the first-stage pass-through, namely the responsiveness of import prices to the exchange rate changes, for a sample of euro area (EA) countries. Our study aims to shed further light on the role of microeconomic factors vs. macroeconomic factors in influencing the...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012960112

Macro News and Bond Yield Spreads in the Euro Area

Caporale, Guglielmo Maria - 2014

This paper analyses the effects of newspaper coverage of macro news on the spread between the yield on the 10-year German Bund and on sovereign bonds in eight countries belonging to the euro area (Belgium, France, Greece, Ireland, Italy, the Netherlands, Portugal and Spain) using daily data for...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013045338

The Crisis and Regional Resilience in Europe : On the Importance of Urbanization and Specialization

Brakman, Steven - 2015

Using a rich data set on the EU regions, we analyze the relevance of two possible determinants of a region's resilience … that started in 2008, as our shock and then analyze how the NUTS II EU regions differ in their resilience to the crisis in … terms of unemployment and real GDP per capita. In prior research it has been well established that (EU) regions differ in …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013033744

Recent Estimates of Exchange Rate Pass-Through to Import Prices in the Euro Area

Ben Cheikh, Nidhaleddine - 2015

This paper provides an update on the exchange rate pass-through (ERPT) estimates for 12 Euro area (EA) countries. First, based on quarterly data over the 1990-2012 period, our study does not find a significant heterogeneity in the degree of pass-through across the monetary union members, in...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013022505

A Closer Look at Revealed Comparative Advantage : Gross-versus Value Added Trade Flows

Brakman, Steven - 2015

With the availability of international value added trade data it has become evident that gross export data and value added data do not provide the same information. Although gross exports crosses national borders and is the target of trade policy, value added data tell us what fragment in the...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013023177