This paper studies the effects of bilateral foreign aid on conflict escalation and de-escalation. We make three major …-sided and multifaceted nature of conflict. Second, we develop a novel empirical framework. We propose a dynamic ordered probit … aid on conflict by predicting bilateral aid flows based on electoral outcomes of donor countries that are exogenous to …

When do opposition groups decide to mount a terrorism campaign and when do they enter an open civil conflict against … the ruling government? This paper models an opposition group's choice between peace, terrorism, and open conflict …. Terrorism emerges if executive constraints are intermediate and rents are sizeable. Open conflict is predicted to emerge under …

We decompose the relationship between food aid and conflict into the channels through which food aid can affect … conflict. We address questions of methodological choice and estimation techniques for empirical studies. Our review of the … empirical evidence on the effect of food aid on conflict shows that none of the previous studies proposes a compelling …

open civil conflict against the government. Our model implies that terrorism emerges if constraints on the ruling executive … group are intermediate and rents are sizeable, whereas conflict looms under poor executive constraints. Analyzing annual … when considering the incidence and onset of terrorism and conflict. The corresponding magnitudes are economically sizeable …

We introduce three variations of the Hirshleifer-Skaperdas conflict game to study experimentally the effects of post-conflict … altogether, often after substantial initial conflict. To attain peace, players must first engage in costly signaling by making …

into conflict with other departments because of personal and other rivalries, at least partly overlapping jurisdictions …

partly spills over into the next period, by affecting relative conflict efficiency. Our model generates non …-monotone evolution of both conflict and distribution. Results suggest that external interventions, when effective in reducing current … conflict and protecting weaker groups, may end up sowing the seeds of greater future conflict. …