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Counterfactual analysis in macroeconometrics : an empirical investigation into the effects of quantitative easing

Pesaran, M. Hashem; Smith, Ron - 2012

This paper is concerned with ex ante and ex post counterfactual analyses in the case of macroeconometric applications where a single unit is observed before and after a given policy intervention. It distinguishes between cases where the policy change affects the model's parameters and where it...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009548055

The Effects of Monetary Policy on Unemployment Dynamics under Model Uncertainty - Evidence from the US and the Euro Area

Altavilla, Carlo - 2013

This paper explores the role that the imperfect knowledge of the structure of the economy plays in the uncertainty surrounding the effects of rule-based monetary policy on unemployment dynamics in the euro area and the US. We employ a Bayesian model averaging procedure on a wide range of models...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012753184

R&D decisions and productivity growth : evidence from Switzerland and the Netherlands

Dobbelaere, Sabien; König, Michael D.; Spescha, Andrin; … - 2024

The fraction of R&D active firms decreased in Switzerland but increased in the Netherlands from 2000-2016. This paper …-productivity firms in Switzerland. Innovation support sustains firms' R&D activities in both countries. Our structural growth model … identifies the impact of innovation, imitation and R&D costs on firms' R&D decisions. R&D costs gained importance in Switzerland …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014535654

Are Fiscal Adjustments Less Successful in Decentralized Governments?

Schaltegger, Christoph A. - 2007

A common political claim is that decentralized governments undermine policy makers' ability to fight fiscal imbalance. This paper examines how different fiscal institutions influence the likelihood of a successful fiscal adjustment. Using a panel of the Swiss cantons from 1981 to 2001, we first...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012777298

Fiscal Policies and Business Cycles in an Enlarged Euro Area

Staehr, Karsten - 2008

This paper compares the cyclical properties of fiscal policies across the 12 original eurozone countries and the future members from Central and Eastern Europe. For the sample period 1995-2005, the fiscal balance exhibits less inertia and is more counter-cyclical in Central and Eastern European...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012773620

Strategic Interactions between Fiscal and Monetary Authorities in a Multi-Country New-Keynesian Model of a Monetary Union

Michalak, Tomasz - 2013

In this paper we consider a number of key issues related to the policy coordination in a monetary union that has been recently discussed in the literature. To this end we propose a multi-country New-Keynesian model of a monetary union cast in the framework of linear quadratic differential games....

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012753234

Macroeconometric evaluation of active labour market policies in Germany : a dynamic panel approach using regional data

Hujer, Reinhard; Blien, Uwe; Caliendo, Marco; Zeiss, … - 2002

Most evaluation studies of active labour market policies (ALMP) focus on the microeconometric evaluation approach using individual data. However, as the microeconometric approach usually ignores impacts on the non-participants, it should be seen as a first step to a complete evaluation which has...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011414213

Macroeconomic impacts of ALMP on the matching process in West Germany

Hujer, Reinhard (contributor); … - 2003 - [Elektronische Ressource]

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001808448

Causality and econometrics

Heckman, James J.; Pinto, Rodrigo - 2022

This paper examines the econometric causal model for policy analysis developed by the seminal ideas of Ragnar Frisch and Trygve Haavelmo. We compare the econometric causal model with two popular causal frameworks: Neyman-Holland causal model and the do-calculus. The Neyman-Holland causal model...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012886838

Exploring the International Linkages of the Euro Area : A Global VAR Analysis

Dees, Stephane - 2006

This paper presents a global model linking individual country vector error-correcting models in which the domestic variables are related to the country-specific variables as an approximate solution to a global common factor model. This global VAR is estimated for 26 countries, the euro area...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012783809

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