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Inflation expectations are a key determinant of actual and future inflation and thus matter for the conduct of monetary policy. We study how firms form their inflation expectations using quarterly firm-level data from the Bank of Canada's Business Outlook Survey, spanning the 2001 to 2015...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012979664
are the latest in a series of episodes that have led the European Union (EU) to develop its Open Strategic Autonomy (OSA … the EU's economic interdependencies and their implications for trade and finance, with a focus on strategically important … this background, the Report discusses relevant aspects of the EU's OSA policy agenda which extend to trade, industrial and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014351471
This paper documents five stylised facts relating to price adjustment in the euro area, using various micro price datasets collected in a period with relatively low and stable inflation. First, price changes are infrequent in the core sectors. On average, 12% of consumer prices change each...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014353273
Central banks around the world are increasingly monitoring climate change risks and how these affect their balance sheets and their monetary policy transmission. The European Central Bank (ECB) extensively reviewed its monetary policy implementation framework in 2020-21 to better account also...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014353833
Since the European Central Bank’s (ECB’s) 2003 strategy review, the importance of macro-financial amplification channels for monetary policy has increasingly gained recognition. This paper takes stock of this evolution and discusses the desirability of further incremental enhancements in the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014354649
This paper uses the European Commission's Consumer Survey to assess whether inflation expectations have converged and whether inflation uncertainty has diminished following the introduction of the Euro in Europe. Consumers' responses to the survey suggest that inflation expectations depend more...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012754359
We develop multivariate measures of synchronicity and co-movement of business cycles. In addition to synchronicity, the co-movement measure takes differences between cycle amplitudes into account that have been overlooked in most previous studies. We apply the new measures to the euro area....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012756787
In mid-September 2008, a global financial crisis erupted which was followed by the most serious worldwide economic recession for decades. As in many other regions of the world, governments in the euro area stepped in with a wide range of emergency measures to stabilise the financial sector and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012758043
This paper reviews selected aspects of economic relations between the EU and Russia, focusing on the impact that the … last two waves of EU enlargement have had on Russia, as well as the role of the euro in Russia. The analysis suggests that … if EU enlargement has had any diversion effects on trade between the EU and Russia at all, they have been minimal, while …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012750208
In this paper we take a systematic look at recent trends in global protectionism and at the potential implications of a protectionist backlash for economic growth, using results from the recent economic literature and new model simulations. We find that there has so far been a moderate increase...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012751064