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, investment, and the distribution of funds for consumption, particularly if the windfall is both anticipated and temporary. We … show that the permanent income hypothesis prescription of an ever-lasting increase in consumption financed by borrowing … is large relative to initial foreign debt, is it optimal to build a SWF. The optimal time profile of consumption is …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012764524
In this paper we revisit the Dutch disease paying particular attention to the role of specific factors of production and capital stock dynamics. The main insight is that if the natural resource rich windfall is substantial but not large enough for the country to become a rentier, capital goods...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013316031
Since the breakdown of the Bretton Woods System diverging current account positions in Europe have prevailed. While the Southern and Western European countries have tended to run current account deficits, the current accounts of the Central and Northern European countries, in particular Germany,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013086602
We use a welfare-based intertemporal stochastic optimization model and historical data to estimate the size of the optimal intergenerational and liquidity funds and the corresponding resource dividend available to the government of the Canadian province Alberta. To first-order of approximation,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012979602
Unconventional fiscal policy uses announcements of future increases in consumption taxes to generate inflation … expectations and accelerate consumption expenditure. It is budget neutral and time consistent. We provide preliminary evidence for …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013315437
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003726486
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012224278
We extend 'economic equivalence' results, like the Ricardian equivalence proposition, to the political sphere where policy is chosen sequentially. We derive conditions under which a policy regime (summarizing admissible policy choices in every period) and a state are 'politico-economically...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013111478
We estimate spillover effects of a fiscal shock in one member country in the euro area on outputs of the rest of the members, using a Global Vector Autoregression (GVAR) model. We compare the effects of a domestic fiscal shock with those of a similar size area-wide shock expressed as a weighted...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013101197
We estimate cross-border spillover effects of fiscal consolidation episodes on output, bilateral trade flows, interest rate, and the exchange rate, employing the new IMF action-based fiscal consolidation data. Results indicate a negative effect of foreign fiscal consolidation policies on...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013315746