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Money long-run super-neutrality and the vertical long-run Phillips curve are two widely shared beliefs in the economics profession and among economic policy-makers. The present survey is devoted to anomalous empirical evidence which challenges this view. We consider a variety of studies,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011456445
The present paper uses German annual data covering the period 1969-2000 to present evidence on the link between aggregate inflation and the higher-order moments of the distribution of relative price changes. Our empirical findings confirm predictions of contributions to the theoretical...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011476471
In this paper we analyse the short- and long-run relationship between employment growth, inflation and output growth in Phillips' tradition. For this purpose we apply FMOLS, DOLS, PMGE, MGE, DFE, and VECM methods to a nonstationary heterogeneous dynamic panel including annual data for 119...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013092691
The standard search model of unemployment predicts, under plausible assumptions about household preferences, that disembodied technological progress leads to higher unemployment. This prediction is at odds with the experience of industrialized countries in the 1970s. This paper shows that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010440551
We analyze the implications of changes in the trend growth rate for optimal monetary policy in the presence of search and matching unemployment. We show that trend growth in itself does not generate a trade-off for the monetary authority, but that it interacts importantly with the inefficiencies...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011300631
We study the forecasting performance of three alternative large scale approaches using a dataset for Germany that consists of 123 variables in quarterly frequency. These three approaches handle the dimensionality problem evoked by such a large dataset by aggregating information, yet on different...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010357899
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011950128
The conventional wisdom that inflation and unemployment are unrelated in the long-run implies the compartmentalisation of macroeconomics. While one branch of the literature models inflation dynamics and estimates the unemployment rate compatible with inflation stability, another one determines...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003736446
Inflation is a monetary phenomenon. While this statement is widely accepted in terms of a long-run relationship, the quantity theory has been made operational also for the short-run dynamics of inflation by so-called Pstar models. An error correction model with quarterly data for the Euro Area...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011477146
We introduce an approach for the empirical study of the quantity theory of money (QTM) that is novel both with respect to the specific steps taken as well as the general methodology employed. Empirical studies of the QTM have focused directly on the relationship between the rate of change of the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013091422