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wholesale power markets have only recently been deregulated. We introduce the weather factor into well-known forecasting models …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005504905
We develop a method for directly modeling cointegrated multivariate time series that are observed in mixed frequencies. We regard lower-frequency data as regularly (or irregularly) missing and treat them with higher-frequency data by adopting a state-space model. This utilizes the structure of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005405735
combining different forecasting procedures generally produces more accurate forecasts than can be attained from a single model. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005405901
In this paper we have assessed an influence of the NYSE Stock Exchange indexes (DJIA and NASDAQ) and European Stock indexes (DAX and FTSE) on the Warsaw Stock Exchange index WIG within a framework of a GARCH model. By applying a procedure of checking predictive quality of econometric models as...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005406048
under the Basel Accord: A Bayesian approach to forecasting value-at-risk of VIX futures, fast clustering of GARCH processes … dynamics of BRICS's country risk ratings and domestic stock markets, U.S. stock market and oil price, forecasting value …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011256696
, pages 683-713.<P> This paper discusses identification, specification, estimation and forecasting for a general class of … formulations are introduced for exact maximum likelihood estimation, component estimation and forecasting. Identification issues …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011256849
underwriters and issuing firms in the Japanese corporate bond market, stochastic life table forecasting: a time-simultaneous fan …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011256964
"><I>Journal of Applied Econometrics</I></A>, 2014, 29, pages 693-712.<P> Many economic studies on inflation forecasting have found … existing studies on interest rate forecasting either treat yields as being stationary, without any shifting endpoints, or treat … yields as a random walk process. In this study we consider the problem of forecasting the term structure of interest rates …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011257019
wholesale power markets have only recently been deregulated. We introduce the weather factor into well-known forecasting models …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011257096
construction methods, we find that this procedure leads to better interpretable factors and to a favorable forecasting performance …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011257444