Showing 1 - 10 of 229
We revisit the relationship between international trade, economic growth and inequality with a focus on Latin America and the Caribbean. The paper combines two approaches: First, we employ a cross-country panel framework to analyze the macroeconomic effects of international trade on economic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011716658
Rodriguez and Rodrik (2000) argue that the relation between openness and growth is still an open question. One of the main problems in the assessment of the effect is the endogeneity of the relation. In order to address this issue, this paper applies the identification through heteroskedasticity...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014401435
France, Germany, Italy, and the United Kingdom during the period of the Stability and Growth Pact (SGP). Our findings … indicate that accuracy of financial expert deficit forecasts increased in France. Convergence between the European Commission …'s and market experts’ deficit forecasts also increased in France, Italy, and the United Kingdom, particularly during the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014412192
The United Kingdom has opted to leave the European Union. The trade and welfare consequences of this decision are large; most studies predict a trade and welfare loss for both the UK and the EU. The UK parliament has indicated that it aims for new and ambitious trade agreements following Brexit,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012955285
and employment protection tend to inflate the real exchange rate. We then carry out an econometric estimation for European …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013087275
We examine the impact of the ECB's QE on Euro Area real GDP and core CPI with a Bayesian VAR, estimated on monthly data from 2012M6 to 2016M4. We assess the total impact via a counter-factual exercise, country-by-country and through alternative transmission channels. QE announcement shocks are...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012986934
This paper studies whether labor market mismatch played an important role for labor market dynamics during the COVID-19 pandemic. We apply the framework of Sahin and others (2014) to the US and the UK to measure misallocation between job seekers and vacancies across sectors until the third...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013170581
This paper employs a panel vector autoregressive model for the member countries of the Euro Area to explore the role of banks during the slump of the real economy that followed the financial crisis. In particular, we seek to quantify the macroeconomic effects of adverse loan supply shocks, which...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013316038
We introduce a new suite of macroeconomic models that extend and complement the Debt, Investment, and Growth (DIG) model widely used at the IMF since 2012. The new DIG-Labor models feature segmented labor markets, efficiency wages and open unemployment, and an informal non-agricultural sector....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012252029
The empirical evidence currently available in the literature regarding the effects of a country's IMF program participation on its output growth is rather mixed. To shed new evidence on this issue, in this paper we specify a state- dependent panel data model accounting in particular for program...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013094324