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Short and Long-Run Behaviour of Long-Term Sovereign Bond Yields

Afonso, António - 2010

This study assesses the short and long-run behaviour of long-term sovereign bond yields in OECD countries, for the period 1973-2008. We employ a dynamic panel approach to reflect financial and economic integration, and to increase the performance and accuracy of the tests. Given the existence of...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013135912

Euro Area Time Varying Fiscal Sustainability

Afonso, António - 2015

We assess the time varying features of fiscal sustainability in the euro area via revisiting the empirical relationship between the primary budget surplus and the debt-to-GDP ratio. Focusing on a sample of 11 Euro-area countries between 1999Q1 and 2013Q4 and by means of time series analyses, we...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013015514

Spend-and-Tax : A Panel Data Investigation for the EU

Afonso, António - 2009

, we study the causality between government spending and revenue for the EU in the period 1960-2006. We find spend … Finland and the UK, and for several EU New Member States. Moreover, in the run-up to EMU there was some shifting away from a …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013158140

The Free Movement of Inactive Citizens in the EU - A Challenge for the European Welfare State?

Ochel, Wolfgang - 2007

The EU Directive on Free Movement of 2004 extended free movement within the EU to Union citizens who are inactive and …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012777493

Effects of Euro Area Monetary Policy on Institutional Sectors : The Case of Portugal

Afonso, António - 2017

We study the effects of the euro area monetary policy on the institutional sectors in Portugal during the period 2000:4 2015:4. Our results show that the single monetary policy affected some variables that are proxies for the funding of each institutional sector of the economy: general...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012951580

Euro Area Sovereign Yields and the Power of QE

Afonso, António - 2017

We assess the determinants of long-term sovereign yield spreads using a panel of 10 Euro area countries over the period 1999.01–2016.07 notably regarding the ECB (standard and non-standard) quantitative easing measures. Our findings indicate that the international risk, the bid-ask spread and...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012952163

Assessing the Sustainability of External Imbalances in the European Union

Afonso, António - 2017

external debt (NED) in a sample of EU countries using two complementary approaches. First, we employ both time-series and panel …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012955469

‘Whatever It Takes’ to Resolve the European Sovereign Debt Crisis? Bond Pricing Regime Switches and Monetary Policy Effects

Afonso, António - 2017

This paper investigates the role of unconventional monetary policy as a source of time-variation in the relationship between sovereign bond yield spreads and their fundamental determinants. Our results provide evidence of a new bond-pricing regime following the announcement of the Outright...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012943161

3-Step Analysis of Public Finances Sustainability : The Case of the European Union

Afonso, António - 2008

We use a 3-step analysis to assess the sustainability of public finances in the EU27. Firstly, we perform the SURADF … and revenues via SUR analysis. While results imply that public finances were not unsustainable for the EU panel, fiscal …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012770443

EU-Accession Effects on Sectoral Trade : A Helpman-Melitz-Rubinstein Approach with Panel Data

Martínez-Zarzoso, Inmaculada - 2014

This paper estimates the effects of the EU enlargements in the 2000s for trade in parts and components and trade in … EU and OECD countries. The estimation approach accounts for firm heterogeneity and selection bias in a panel …-data framework. We find a positive and significant effect of the EU-accession on CEECs trade in intermediate and final goods. The …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013049209